{"id":38960,"date":"2026-02-24T06:34:31","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T06:34:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%ec%88%98%ec%84%9d%ec%9d%b8-%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4-%ed%94%8c%eb%9f%bc%ec%9d%80-%eb%8b%a4%eb%a5%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T06:34:31","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T06:34:31","slug":"rba%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%ec%88%98%ec%84%9d%ec%9d%b8-%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4-%ed%94%8c%eb%9f%bc%ec%9d%80-%eb%8b%a4%eb%a5%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%ec%88%98%ec%84%9d%ec%9d%b8-%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4-%ed%94%8c%eb%9f%bc%ec%9d%80-%eb%8b%a4%eb%a5%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d \uc218\uc11d\uc778 \ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \ud50c\ub7fc\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc9c0\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc6b0\uc120\uc2dc\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \ud50c\ub7fc(Michael Plumb) \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA, Reserve Bank of Australia: \ud638\uc8fc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d \ucc45\uc784\uc790\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd(\uc608\uce21)\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, Consumer Price Index: \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubb3c\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc6d4\uac04 CPI\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574 \uae30\uc870(\uadfc\uc6d0) \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c(\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \ube7c\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uce58)\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\nRBA\ub294 \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4 \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0(Trimmed Mean: \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc911 \uc544\uc8fc \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub9b0 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc798\ub77c\ub0b4\uace0 \ub098\uba38\uc9c0\ub85c \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ub0b8 \uac12)\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uc77c\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uba40\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 \ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc900\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uac8c \ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc6d4\uac04 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uae30\uc870 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560\uc9c0 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n\ud50c\ub7fc\uc740 RBA\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud3ed\ub113\uac8c \uc758\uacac\uc744 \ub4e3\uace0(\uc2dc\uc7a5\u00b7\uc804\ubb38\uac00 \ub4f1) \uadf8 \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc774 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ub354\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 \ub2f9\uc77c 0.38% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 0.7055\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\ubd84\uae30 CPI \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc740 \uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \uc77c\uc815\uc740 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ub54c\uc774\uba70, \uadf8 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uae30\uac04\uc740 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd(\ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \uac83) \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uae30(\uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\ub294 \ub0a0)\uac00 \uc624\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc740, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc0c1\ud488\uacfc\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc) \ud2b9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc870 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc6d4\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uad00\ucc30\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub354 \uc791\uc740 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uac70\ub798 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc6d4\uac04 CPI \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.2%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9bc)\ub098 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc900\ub2e4.\n\n

4\uc6d4 \ub9d0 CPI \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uac70\ub798 \uad6c\uc870<\/h3>\n\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc2dd\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(hike: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(rate cut: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 0.7055 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798 \uc911\uc778 AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AUD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud658\uc728 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc720\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 \uc57d\uc138 \ud06c\ub808\ub527 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bearish credit spread: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\ucc98\uc74c \ubc1b\ub294 \uae08\uc561)\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uc870)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ub610\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9bc) \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish: \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc555\ub825 \uc5b8\uae09\uc740 \uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uae30\ub3c4 \ud558\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(unemployment rate: \uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\ub294 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc758 \ube44\uc728)\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c 4.0%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(jobs data: \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 \uad00\ub828 \ubc1c\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc190\uc2e4\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc124\uacc4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc740 \uadf8 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ucc98\ub7fc \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub7f0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RBA\ub294 \ubd84\uae30 CPI\u00b7\ud2b8\ub9bc\ub4dc \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc6d4\uac04 CPI\ub85c \uae30\uc870 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub97c \uc810\uac80\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ucd09\ub9e4, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38960"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38960\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}