{"id":38959,"date":"2026-02-24T06:33:53","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T06:33:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rbnz%ec%9d%98-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b4%ec%96%b4%ec%a7%80%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T06:33:53","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T06:33:53","slug":"rbnz%ec%9d%98-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b4%ec%96%b4%ec%a7%80%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rbnz%ec%9d%98-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b4%ec%96%b4%ec%a7%80%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uad00\uc138 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba70 \ud0a4\uc704\ud654\uac00 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 NZD\/USD\uac00 0.6000 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 **\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0**\ud558\uace0 **\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)** \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ub4a4 0.6000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 **\uc644\ud654\uc801(\ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9ac\uae30 \uc27d\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)** \uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc758 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\uc744 \ub35c \ud480\uc5b4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 **1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1**\ub9cc \uc720\ub825\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\uace0, \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\uc804\uc758 2\ud68c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Us Tariff Policy Shift<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 6\ub300 3 \ud310\uacb0\ub85c \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 **IEEPA \uad00\uc138**\ub97c \ubb34\ud6a8\ub85c \ud588\ub2e4. (IEEPA\ub294 *\uad6d\uc81c\ube44\uc0c1\uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\ud55c\ubc95*\uc73c\ub85c, \ube44\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubb34\uc5ed\u00b7\uae08\uc735 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.) \uc774\ud6c4 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 **\ubb34\uc5ed\ubc95(Trade Act) 122\uc870**\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 15%\uc758 \uc0c8 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \ub2ec \uc548\uc5d0 \uc2dc\ud589\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n122\uc870\ub294 \ubc95\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 **150\uc77c \ud55c\ub3c4(\uadf8 \uae30\uac04\uae4c\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc801\uc6a9 \uac00\ub2a5)** \uac00 \uc788\uace0, \uc218\uc785\uc5c5\uccb4\uac00 \ub3cc\ub824\ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 **\ud658\uae09(\uc774\ubbf8 \ub0b8 \ub3c8\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac83)** \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 1,600\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uc77c\uc815\uc774\uba70, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ud638\uc8fc CPI\ub294 \ud0a4\uc704 \uad00\ub828 **\uad50\ucc28\ud658\uc728(\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac70\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811 \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ud658\uc728)** \uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6d4\uc694\uc77c NZD\/USD\ub294 0.34% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 0.5960 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4\uac00, \uc55e\uc120 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uaebe\uc778 \ub4a4 0.6000 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub454 \ud3c9\uade0) 0.5915\uc640 200\uc77c EMA 0.5860 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. 11\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.5600 \ubd80\uadfc\uc740 \ub354 \ud070 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 \uc624\uc2e4\ub808\uc774\ud130(\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc704\uce58\ub85c \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uace0\uc810 0.6094 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\uac04 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc9c0\ub098 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.5956\uacfc 0.5900, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.6000\uacfc 0.6094\uc774\uba70, \uadf8 \uc704\ub85c 0.6200\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\nRBNZ\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc785\uc7a5\uc740 \ud0a4\uc704(NZD)\uc758 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud55c 0.2%\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uadf8\ub9b0\ubc31: \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub73b\ud558\ub294 \ud45c\ud604) \ub300\ube44 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Risks To Nzd Outlook<\/h3>\n\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d\ubc1c \ubb34\uc5ed \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300\ub294 \uace0\uc704\ud5d8 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc0c8 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad00\uc138 \uc704\ud611\uc73c\ub85c VIX(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc624\ub974\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\uac00 15% \ub118\uac8c \ub6f0\uc5c8\uace0, \uc57d 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc778 18.5 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad50\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d \uc57d\uc138\ub3c4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc545\ud654\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc758 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: 50\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\uba74 \ud655\uc7a5, \uc544\ub798\uba74 \uc704\ucd95)\ub294 49.8\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uacbd\ub9e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 Global Dairy Trade \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\ub9e4\uc5d0\uc11c 2.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc785\uc774 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud750\ub984 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \ud65c\uc6a9\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. NZD\/USD\uac00 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 0.5915 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\ubcf8 \uc5ec\uac74(\uac70\uc2dc\u00b7\uc815\ucc45 \ud658\uacbd)\uc740 \uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uace7 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. **\ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac70\ub798 \uac00\uaca9)** \uac00 0.5950 \uc544\ub798\uc778 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158, \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud0c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4: RBNZ \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\ub85c NZD\/USD 0.60 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ubbf8 \uad00\uc138 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u00b7\uc911\uad6d PMI \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825, \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ube44 \ud544\uc694. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38959","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38959"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38959\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38959"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38959"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38959"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}