{"id":38957,"date":"2026-02-24T05:34:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T05:34:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%ec%9e%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95%ed%95%9c-cpi-rba%ec%9d%98-3-85-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%84-%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%90\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T05:34:46","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T05:34:46","slug":"%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%ec%9e%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95%ed%95%9c-cpi-rba%ec%9d%98-3-85-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%84-%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%ec%9e%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95%ed%95%9c-cpi-rba%ec%9d%98-3-85-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%84-%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%9e%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\uad00\uc138 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815, \uc784\ubc15\ud55c CPI, RBA\uc758 3.85% \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 AUD\/USD\uac00 0.7100 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"RBA(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uace0 \ubbfc\uac04 \uc218\uc694(\uac00\uacc4\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc640 \ud22c\uc790)\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c4 \ub4a4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uae08\ub9ac)\uc778 \uce90\uc2dc \ub808\uc774\ud2b8(cash rate)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc62c\ub824 3.85%\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc774 3.8%, \ud2b8\ub9bc\ub4dc \ubbfc(trimmed mean, \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ube7c\uc11c \ubcf8 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 3.3%\ub85c, \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\uc778 2%~3%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 IEEPA \uad00\uc138\ub97c 6\ub300 3\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\ud6a8\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c \ub4a4 \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\uc5b4 \ud654\uc694\uc77c\ubd80\ud130 \uc139\uc158 122(Section 122, \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb34\uc5ed\ubc95 \uc870\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uae34\uae09 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uaddc\uc815)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 15% \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ub9e4\uae30\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc81c\uc548\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \ud575\uc2ec<\/h3>\nAUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 0.39% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 0.7100\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub118\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \ub354 \uc900 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0) 0.6880\uacfc 200\uc77c EMA 0.6650 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. 0.6667\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uace0, \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uace0\uc810\uc740 0.7147\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1(Stochastics, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac \uc704\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ud658\ud588\ub2e4. 0.7050~0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ubd88\ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uc62c \ub54c \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.7000, \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \ub54c \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.7100\uacfc 0.7147\uc774\uba70, \uc704\ub85c\ub294 0.7200, \uc544\ub798\ub85c\ub294 50\uc77c EMA\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\nAUD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc740 RBA \uc815\ucc45, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d, \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uc131\uc7a5, \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0(\uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc785\uc744 \ube80 \uac12)\ub2e4. \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 1,180\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(2021\ub144 \uc790\ub8cc) \uaddc\ubaa8\uc774\uba70 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc911\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 2%~3%\ub85c \ub9de\ucd94\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.85%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9b0 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\ub2e4. \uace7 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 1\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc758 \uc9c1\uc804 \ubd84\uae30 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 4.1%\ub85c, RBA \ubaa9\ud45c(2%~3%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc740 RBA\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud798\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd5c\ub300 \uad50\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc778 \uc911\uad6d \uc0c1\ud669\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uac15\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \ucc28\uc774\uc2e0 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(Caixin Manufacturing PMI, \ubbfc\uac04 \uc870\uc0ac\uae30\uad00\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 50.8\ub85c \uaca8\uc6b0 \ud655\uc7a5(\uacbd\uae30 \uac1c\uc120) \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ub9c9\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud575\uc2ec \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \uac70\ub798 \uc124\uc815<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucca0\uad11\uc11d\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 \ub9d0 \ud1a4\ub2f9 140\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub358 \uac00\uaca9\uc774, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c 125\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \ubc14\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud070 \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 15% \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc624\ud504(risk-off, \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uace0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\uba74 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ucc98\ub7fc \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654(commodity-linked currency)\ub97c \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70, \ud5e4\uc9c0(\ud658\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798) \uc5c6\uc774 \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc624\ub798 \ub4e4\uace0 \uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc704\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7100 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud798\uc774 \ube60\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc788\uace0, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud798)\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74(\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138) \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub098 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. 0.7150 \uc704 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike price, \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(premium, \uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\uc758 \ub300\uac00\ub85c \ubc1b\ub294 \ub3c8)\uc744 \uc5bb\uc73c\uba74\uc11c CPI\ub098 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc774\uc288\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uac70\ub798 \uacc4\uc815 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, CPI\uc640 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \uac08\ub9bc\uae38! RBA\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac 3.85% \uc778\uc0c1, \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd. AUD\/USD 0.7100 \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ucda4, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubbf8 15% \uad00\uc138 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38957","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38957"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38957\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38957"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38957"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38957"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}