{"id":38918,"date":"2026-02-23T20:33:24","date_gmt":"2026-02-23T20:33:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-%ec%a0%84%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%9c%eb%8f%99%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98cfnai%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84-0-04%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-02-23T20:33:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-23T20:33:24","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-%ec%a0%84%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%9c%eb%8f%99%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98cfnai%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84-0-04%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-%ec%a0%84%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%9c%eb%8f%99%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98cfnai%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84-0-04%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc804\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\ud65c\ub3d9\uc9c0\uc218(CFNAI)\uac00 \uc774\uc804 -0.04\uc5d0\uc11c -0.21\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 **\uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uc5f0\uc740(Chicago Fed) \uc804\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\ud65c\ub3d9\uc9c0\uc218(Chicago Fed National Activity Index, CFNAI)**\ub294 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 **-0.21**\ub85c \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58\ub294 **-0.04**\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5<\/h3>\n12\uc6d4 2025\ub144 CFNAI\uac00 -0.21\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uac83\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 **\ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4**\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 **\ud3c9\uade0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5**\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\uba70, 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uc57d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 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\ud3c9\uade0 \uc57d 230,000 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc774\ub358 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc0c8\ud574\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 **S&#038;P 500 \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218**\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d, Put Option)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 **\ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638 \uac70\ub798)** \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba74 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c **\uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \ud5a5\ud6c4 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)** \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc904 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4(**\ub3c4\ube44\uc2dc, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub35c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5**)\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 **10\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30\ub85c \ube4c\ub9ac\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)**\ub294 \uc57d 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, basis points) \ud558\ub77d\ud574 3.65% \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\uc73c\ub85c **\uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d, Call Option)** \uac19\uc740 **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488, Derivatives)**\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. **VIX \uc9c0\uc218(S&#038;P 500\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 17 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778\ub370, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. **VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(VIX\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \ub54c \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 2015\ub144\uacfc 2019\ub144 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd \uc804\ud658\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac -0.21 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 **\uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4(\uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc, Recession)**\ub97c \ub73b\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\ubd80\ud130 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uacbd\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uc5b4\ub5a4 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\ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7VIX\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c \uc635\uc158)\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30, \uc870\uc6a9\ud788 \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4: 12\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uc5f0\uc740 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc9c0\uc218 -0.21\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7VIX\ub97c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc640 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