{"id":38729,"date":"2026-02-20T04:33:21","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T04:33:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a9%94%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%bc%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%98-%eb%a7%88%eb%a0%a8%eb%90%98%ec%96%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-02-20T04:33:21","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T04:33:21","slug":"%eb%a9%94%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%bc%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%98-%eb%a7%88%eb%a0%a8%eb%90%98%ec%96%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a9%94%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%bc%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%98-%eb%a7%88%eb%a0%a8%eb%90%98%ec%96%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uba54\ub9ac \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc798 \ub9c8\ub828\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uba70, \ud604 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc0cc\ud504\ub780\uc2dc\uc2a4\ucf54 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(\uc5f0\uc900, Federal Reserve: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c) \ucd1d\uc7ac \uba54\ub9ac \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac(Mary Daly)\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc808\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc774 \uc88b\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub140\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uac83) 75bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p, 75bp=0.75%p) \uc774\ud6c4 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \uc784\uae08 \ub4f1 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc0c1\ud669)\uc774 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uc704\uce58\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\ub370\uc77c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc7ac\ud654 \ubd80\ubb38(\uc0c1\ud488 \uac00\uaca9 \uc601\uc5ed)\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub454\ud654(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9d0)\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY: \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uac15\ud55c\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc57d 97.83\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2f9\uc77c 0.10% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\ub9e4\uc790)\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2025\ub144\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\ub2e4(\uad6c\uc778 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uac15\ud574 \uc778\ub825\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc). \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ud1b5\uacc4)\ub294 26\ub9cc \uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 3.5%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc784\uae08\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825(\uc784\uae08\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \ud798)\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacb0\uc815(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud560\uc9c0)\uc744 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \uc77c\uc73c\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed funds futures: \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 \uc791\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0(\ubcc0\uacbd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc804\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc62c\ub9bc) \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub17c\uc758\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ub300\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c, \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c\ub3c4 \ubd88\ub9bc)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 17 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778\ub370, \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131(\uc55e\ub0a0 \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0)\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ub2f4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uac70\ub098 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ub9e4\uc218 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0ac\uac70\ub098, \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc5d0 97.8 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 105.2\ub85c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774, \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778)\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c\ub294 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc120\ubb3c(\ub098\uc911\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ud658\uc728\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc774\ub098 \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c, \uc644\ud654\uc801(\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801, dovish: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294) \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uad1c\ucc2e\ub2e4\u201d\ub358 2025, \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac\ub294 75bp \uc778\ud558 \ud6c4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc548\uc815\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654 \ubd24\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2026\uc5d4 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 2.9% \uc7ac\uac00\uc5f4\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38729\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}