{"id":38695,"date":"2026-02-19T20:31:34","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T20:31:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8c%a8%eb%8b%89-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%88%ed%94%84%ed%8b%b0%ea%b0%80-25400%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87\/"},"modified":"2026-02-19T20:31:34","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T20:31:34","slug":"%ed%8c%a8%eb%8b%89-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%88%ed%94%84%ed%8b%b0%ea%b0%80-25400%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8c%a8%eb%8b%89-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%88%ed%94%84%ed%8b%b0%ea%b0%80-25400%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud328\ub2c9 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0\uac00 25,400\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub300\uccb4 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc14b\uc5c5\uc744 \ucc28\ubd84\ud788 \uae30\ub2e4\ub838\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0 50\uc740 25,800\uc5d0\uc11c 25,400 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uac00\uaca9\uc740 25,550 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778 \ub4a4 \ucd5c\uc800 25,388\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 400\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc601\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc11d(Elliott Wave analysis: \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \u2018\ud30c\ub3d9\u2019 \ud328\ud134\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ub220 \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d)\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \u201c\ub300\uccb4 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624(Alternate Scenario: \uae30\ubcf8 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \uc9c4\ud589 \uacbd\ub85c)\u201d\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0, \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 25,550 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc654\ub294\uc9c0 \uc810\uac80\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \uc774\ubc88 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc870\uc815(correction: \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6c4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \ud558\ub77d)\uc744 \uacaa\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

Alternate Scenario Key Levels<\/h3>\n\ub610\ud55c \ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0, \ubc45\ud06c \ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0(Bank Nifty: \uc778\ub3c4 \uc740\ud589\uc8fc \uc911\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc218), \uc778\ub514\uace0(Indigo: \uc778\ub3c4 \ud56d\uacf5\uc0ac \uc8fc\uc2dd), \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(Bitcoin: \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0), MCX \uc2e4\ubc84(MCX Silver: \uc778\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c(MCX)\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc740 \uac00\uaca9), \ucf54\uba55\uc2a4 \uace8\ub4dc(Comex Gold: \ubbf8\uad6d COMEX \uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc758 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9)\ub3c4 \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c(technical review: \ucc28\ud2b8\uc640 \uac00\uaca9\/\uac70\ub798 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d) \ud568\uaed8 \uc810\uac80\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf58\ud150\uce20\ub294 \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \uc774\ub860(Elliott Wave Theory: \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ud30c\ub3d9 \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\ub860) \uacbd\ub825 10\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1\uc778 \uae08\uc735 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00 \uc544\ube44\uc251 H. \uc2f1(Abhishek H. Singh)\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\uae08 \ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0\uac00 400\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 25,800\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c 25,388 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubd24\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9ce\uc740 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \ubd88\uc548\ud574\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \ub300\uccb4 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc600\uace0 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04(support zone: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ubc1b\uce58\ub294\u2019 \uad6c\uac04)\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae08 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc9c8\ubb38\uc740 \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc88b\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uc778\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \ub354 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc778\uc9c0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uc9c0\uc218 \uac19\uc740 \u2018\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\u2019 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88\uc548\uac10\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc798 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc778\ub3c4 VIX(India VIX: \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud074\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc218\uce58\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ub3c4 VIX\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 25% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 17.5 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4\uc758 14 \ubbf8\ub9cc \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(option premium: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4 \ub54c \ub0b4\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ub9ce\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(selling options: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ucee4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uad00 \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4(net sellers: \uc0b0 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud310 \uac83\uc774 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc74c)\ub85c \ucd5c\uadfc 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \uc778\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 1\uc8705\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ub8e8\ud53c(\u20b915,000 crore, \ud06c\ub85c\uc5b4: 1\ud06c\ub85c\uc5b4=1\ucc9c\ub9cc) \uc815\ub3c4\ub97c \ube7c\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae30\uad00\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544\ub0b4\uba74\uc11c 25,400~25,500 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ucda9 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

Derivatives Flows And Risk Signals<\/h3>\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0 \ud48b-\ucf5c \ube44\uc728(Put-Call Ratio, PCR: \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\/\ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c \ub4f1\uacfc \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 0.80\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud574\uc84c\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4(oversold: \ub108\ubb34 \ub9ce\uc774 \ud314\ub824 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 25,500 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike: \uc635\uc158 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uaca9) \ud48b\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815(open interest: \uc544\uc9c1 \uccad\uc0b0\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d \uc218)\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc313\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub9cc\uae30(weekly expiry: \uc8fc \ub2e8\uc704\ub85c \ub05d\ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ub9cc\uae30\uc77c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc704\ucabd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 26,000 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc5d0 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\ub7c9(call writers: \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790)\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \ubab0\ub824 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d(ceiling: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub3c4 \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 8\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc57d 3% \uc815\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\uc628 \ub4a4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud6a1\ubcf4(consolidated: \ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc5c6\uc774 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \ud798\uc744 \ubaa8\uc74c)\ud558\uace0 \uc5f0\ub9d0\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac15\uc138\uc7a5(bull market: \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7f0 \ube60\ub978 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb3c\uac00(inflation: \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1), \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ub2e4\ub985\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0 50\uc774 25,800\u219225,388\ub85c 400p \uae09\ub77d\u2014\uacf5\ud3ec \uc18d \uae30\ud68c\uc77c\uae4c? \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \ub300\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c 25,500 \uc9c0\uc9c0, VIX \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc678\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7PCR 0.80\u00b726,000 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud55c\ub2e4. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38695"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38695\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}