{"id":38666,"date":"2026-02-19T13:32:11","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T13:32:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%84%ed%96%89-%ea%b7%9c%ec%a0%95%ed%95%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%8a%90%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ed%9e%88%ec%99%80-%ec%bb%a4%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-6%ec%a1%b05%ec%b2%9c%ec%96%b5\/"},"modified":"2026-02-19T13:32:11","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T13:32:11","slug":"%ed%98%84%ed%96%89-%ea%b7%9c%ec%a0%95%ed%95%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%8a%90%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ed%9e%88%ec%99%80-%ec%bb%a4%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-6%ec%a1%b05%ec%b2%9c%ec%96%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%84%ed%96%89-%ea%b7%9c%ec%a0%95%ed%95%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%8a%90%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ed%9e%88%ec%99%80-%ec%bb%a4%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-6%ec%a1%b05%ec%b2%9c%ec%96%b5\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud604\ud589 \uaddc\uc815\ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uc290\ub77c\uc774\ud788\uc640 \ucee4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 6\uc8705\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub0b4\uc154\ub110\uc740\ud589(National Bank of Canada)\uc758 \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec \uc290\ub77c\uc774\ud788(Taylor Schleich)\uc640 \uc774\uc120 \ucee4\ub9ac(Ethan Currie)\ub294, \ud604\ud589 \uaddc\uc815 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, \ubcf4\ud1b5 \u201c\uc5f0\uc900\u201d \ub610\ub294 \u201cFed\u201d)\uac00 **\ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c(balance sheet)** \ub97c \uc9c0\uae08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. (\ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **\ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0**\uacfc **\ubd80\ucc44(\uc9c0\uae09\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ud56d\ubaa9)** \uc758 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc7a5\ubd80\ub2e4.) \uacfc\uac70\uc758 **\uc591\uc801\uae34\ucd95(QT, Quantitative Tightening: \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub418\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \ub35c \uc0ac\uac70\ub098 \ud314\uc544\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)** \uc774\ud6c4, \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c\ub294 \uc57d **6.5\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec** \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 **\ubd80\ucc44**\uac00 \uace7 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 **\uc790\uc0b0 \uaddc\ubaa8**\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \ud55c\uacc4\ub294 **\uc740\ud589 \uc900\ube44\uae08(bank reserves: \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uacb0\uc81c\u00b7\uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \uc608\uce58\ud574 \ub450\ub294 \ub3c8)** \uacfc **\uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc77c\ubc18\uacc4\uc815(TGA, Treasury General Account: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uac00 \uc138\uae08\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589 \ub300\uae08 \ub4f1\uc744 \ubcf4\uad00\ud558\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub0b4 \uc815\ubd80 \uc608\uae08 \uacc4\uc88c)** \uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uba74 **\ud604\uae08(\ud1b5\ud654) \uc218\uc694**\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubd80\ucc44 \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \ucabd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ucd94\uac00 \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c \ucd95\uc18c\uc758 \uc81c\uc57d<\/h3>\n\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc900\ube44\uae08 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc904\uc774\ub824\uba74 \uc8fc\ub85c **\uaddc\uc81c \ubcc0\uacbd(\uac10\ub3c5\u00b7\uaddc\uce59\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uac83)** \uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \ub418\uba74 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ub354 \ub9ce\uc774 \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubcf4\uc720 \uc790\uc0b0(\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624)\uc744 \ub354 \uc791\uac8c \uac00\uc838\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \u201c\uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uccb4\u201d\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\ub354 \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\u201d\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c\ub2e4. (\uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \u201c\ub354 \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\u201d\ub294 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uba74 \uae09\ud788 \ud314\uc544 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.)\n\n\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 QT\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **\ub9cc\uae30 \ub3c4\ub798 \uc99d\uad8c(maturing securities: \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc6d0\uae08\uc774 \uc0c1\ud658\ub418\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c)** \uc758 **\uc7ac\ud22c\uc790 \ubc29\uc2dd**\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. QT\uac00 \ub05d\ub09c \ub4a4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 **\uc9c1\uc811 \ub9e4\uc785**\uc740 **\uad6d\ucc44 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c(T-bills, Treasury bills: \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 1\ub144 \uc774\ub0b4\uc778 \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44)** \uc5d0 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uc5b4 \uc654\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \ubcf4\uc720 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 **\ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158(duration: \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9 \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4, \ub300\ub7b5 \u201c\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294\uc9c0\u201d\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\ud45c)** \uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120(\uae08\ub9ac\uace1\uc120) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n**\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc9c0\uc218 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub530\ub77c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)** \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4\ub97c \uc870\uc774\ub294 \ud070 \uc694\uc778 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c **\uc7a5\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc624\ub79c \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc)** \uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218: S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c, \ud754\ud788 \u201c\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u201d\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub984)** \ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 **13~15**\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 **\uc548\uc815(\uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uc7a5)** \uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4(selling strangles: \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744 \ub54c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \ub97c \ud558\uac70\ub098 **VIX \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4(shorting VIX futures: VIX\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798)** \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \ud588\ub358 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc, \ub9cc\uae30 \uc0c1\ud658\uae08 \uc7ac\ud22c\uc790\ub97c **T-\ube4c** \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubcf4\uc720 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. (\uc989, \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub35c \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.) \uc774\ub7f0 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 **\uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120(yield curve: \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc740 \uadf8\ub798\ud504)** \uc744 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c **\uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd(steepening: \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc62c\ub77c \uace1\uc120\uc774 \uac00\ud314\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)** \uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 **SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR futures: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 SOFR\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)** \uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 **\uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uac83**\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ud45c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>QT\ub294 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub098? Fed \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c 6.5\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc740\ud589\uc900\ube44\uae08\u00b7TGA \ub4f1 \ubd80\ucc44 \uc81c\uc57d\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ubabb \uc904\uc778\ub2e4. \uaddc\uc81c\uc644\ud654 \uc5c6\uc778 \ub9e4\uac01\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\ubd88\uc548. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2193, T-bill \uc7ac\ud22c\uc790 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc73c\ub85c \ucee4\ube0c \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd \uc2dc\uc0ac. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"QT\ub294 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub098? 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