{"id":38629,"date":"2026-02-19T04:32:24","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T04:32:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%8d%94-%eb%b9%a0%eb%a5%b4%ea%b2%8c-%ec%a7%84%ed%96%89\/"},"modified":"2026-02-19T04:32:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T04:32:24","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%8d%94-%eb%b9%a0%eb%a5%b4%ea%b2%8c-%ec%a7%84%ed%96%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%8d%94-%eb%b9%a0%eb%a5%b4%ea%b2%8c-%ec%a7%84%ed%96%89\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc57d\ud654\uac00 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \ub4a4, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc77c\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc5d0 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4\ubd84\uae30(Q4, 1\ub144\uc758 \ub124 \ubc88\uc9f8 \ubd84\uae30)\uc5d0 5.2%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.2%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uccad\uad6c\uc790 \uc218(\uc2e4\uc5c5 \uad00\ub828 \uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c \uc218)\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 2\ub9cc8600\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc815\uae30 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\ubcf4\ub108\uc2a4 \ub4f1 \uc77c\ud68c\uc131 \uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \ube80, \ubbfc\uac04\uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8\uae09 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 3.4%\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 5\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uae30\ub300)\uc740 4\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 BoE\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp, basis point=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 3\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 76%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc601\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00), \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI, \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubc1b\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00), \uc18c\ub9e4\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(RPI, \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Technical Levels And Near Term Direction<\/h3>\n\uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(GBP\/USD)\uc740 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 1\uc6d4\uc758 4\ub144 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc740 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(50-day EMA, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) \uc544\ub798 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 200\uc77c EMA\ub294 1.3435 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. 1.3490 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 1.3400\uc744 \ud5a5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, 50\uc77c EMA\uc778 1.3529 \uc704\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\uba74 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825(\ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub824\ub294 \ud798)\uc740 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(Initial Jobless Claims, \uc0c8\ub85c \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218)\uc640 \ud544\ub77c\ub378\ud53c\uc544 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38(Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30 \uc124\ubb38) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uad00\uacc4\uc790 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ub3c4 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac74 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(\uc18c\ub9e4 \ub9e4\ucd9c)\uc640 PMI \uc9c0\uc218(Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index, \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc124\ubb38 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 886\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\uc2ac\ub7ec \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub8e8 \ud3c9\uade0 6300\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \uc804\uccb4 \uc678\ud658\uac70\ub798(FX, \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac70\ub798)\uc758 12%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc911 GBP\/USD\uac00 11%, GBP\/JPY\uac00 3%, EUR\/GBP\uac00 2%\uc774\uba70, BoE\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 2%\ub85c \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b4\uc601\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>How The Macro Backdrop Has Changed<\/h3>\n\uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 2\uc6d4) \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc601\uad6d \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.8%\ub85c \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0, 1\uc6d4 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.9%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud588\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc740 2.8%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70(\ub048\uc801\ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub428), BoE \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uaf64 \ub192\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc740 \uc904\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ud3b8\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\ub294 \uc57d 20\ub9cc5000\uac74 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 Fed\uac00 BoE\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub984)\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488: \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac70\ub798 \uc0c1\ud488) \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc57d\uc138\uc77c \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc5b4\uc6b8\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(puts, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uc601\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud560 \ub54c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610\ub294 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(put spread, \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\ub85c \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9(\ucc98\uc74c \ub4dc\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9)\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uba74\uc11c \ud2b9\uc815 \ud558\ub77d \ud3ed\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ucda9\uaca9: \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub85c GBP\/USD \ud558\ub77d. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 5.2%, \uc784\uae08 4.2%\u00b7\ubbfc\uac04 3.4%\ub85c \ub454\ud654, \ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud574 3~4\uc6d4 BoE \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\ub300. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 1.3490 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 1.3400 \uacbd\uacc4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38629","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38629"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38629\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38629"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38629"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38629"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}