{"id":38598,"date":"2026-02-18T21:30:57","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T21:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b8%b0%ec%84%a0%ed%96%89%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%ea%b2%a9%ed%9e%88-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ed%95%b4-%eb%aa%a8\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T21:30:57","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T21:30:57","slug":"%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b8%b0%ec%84%a0%ed%96%89%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%ea%b2%a9%ed%9e%88-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ed%95%b4-%eb%aa%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b8%b0%ec%84%a0%ed%96%89%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%ea%b2%a9%ed%9e%88-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ed%95%b4-%eb%aa%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc0c8\ube44\uc9c0\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uacbd\uae30\uc120\ud589\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ud574 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc815\uccb4\ub41c \ubc18\uba74, \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 **\uc6e8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ud329-\uba5c\ubc84\ub978 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uacbd\uae30\uc120\ud589\uc9c0\uc218(\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 **0.02%**\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, **6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc728(6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub97c 1\ub144 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc0b0\ud55c \uac12) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960**\ub3c4 12\uc6d4 **+0.44%**\uc5d0\uc11c **+0.02%**\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac(\ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac19\uc740 \uc790\uc6d0) \uac00\uaca9**\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, **\uacbd\uae30 \ud798\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uba48\ucd98 \uc0c1\ud0dc**\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub454\ud654\uc758 \uc8fc\ub41c \uc6d0\uc778\uc740 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac(\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uacbd\uae30\uc640 \uc18c\ube44\ub97c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub099\uad00\/\ube44\uad00\ud558\ub294\uc9c0)** \uc57d\ud654\uc640 **\uc8fc\ud0dd \uc778\ud5c8\uac00(\uc0c8\ub85c \uc9d1\uc744 \uc9d3\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc2b9\uc778 \uac74\uc218)** \uac10\uc18c\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub450 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc740 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub204\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac01\uac01 **0.16%p(\ud37c\uc13c\ud2b8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \ube44\uc728 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \u2018\ucc28\uc774\u2019)**, **0.23%p**\ub9cc\ud07c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 **\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9**\uc740 **0.36%p**\ub97c \ubcf4\ud0f0\uc9c0\ub9cc, **AUD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec)**\uac00 **4% \uc0c1\uc2b9**\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uadf8 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>RBA Policy And Growth Tension<\/h3>\n**\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA, Reserve Bank of Australia)**\uc740 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5(\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)**\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 **\ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9ac\uba74 **\uacbd\uae30(\uc131\uc7a5)**\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. **\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ, Reserve Bank of New Zealand)**\uc740 **\uc911\ub9bd\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uce58\uc6b0\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)**\uc774\uba70 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uade0\ud615\uc801(\uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ube44\uc2b7\ud568)**\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)**\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uac00\uce58\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub294 **0.75** \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 **\ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0\ub2e4(\ucd94\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc758 \ud30c\uae09\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4)**\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 **\uc784\uae08\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Wage Price Index, \uc784\uae08 \uc218\uc900 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 **\uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.8%(quarter-on-quarter, \uc9c1\uc804 \ubd84\uae30\uc640 \ube44\uad50)** \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2025\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30\uc640 \uac19\uc558\uace0, 2024\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 **0.7%**\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**\uc5f0\uac04 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(year-on-year, 1\ub144 \uc804 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \ube44\uad50)**\uc740 **3.4%**\ub85c, 2025\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30 **3.3%**, 2024\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 **3.2%**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774 \uae00\uc740 **AI \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ub410\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4**\uace0 \ubc1d\ud799\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Implications For Traders And Volatility<\/h3>\nRBA\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub294 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)**\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubb38\uc81c\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 **CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 **4.3%**\ub85c, **\ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704(target band, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ubc14\ub77c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uad6c\uac04)**\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. **\uc784\uae08\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218**\uac00 **\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%** \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc810\ub3c4, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ube68\ub9ac \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 RBA\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6c1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c **\ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubcf4\ud1b5 **\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac**\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uad6d\ub0b4 \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uacbd\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub454\ud654\ub294 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac**\uc640 **\uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc778\ud5c8\uac00**\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\ub04c\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774 \ub458\uc740 **\uae08\ub9ac(\uc774\uc790\uc728)** \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 **\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\ub294 **\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(pause, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uba48\ucd94\uace0 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\ub294 \uac83)** \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 **\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c**\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9**\u2014\ud2b9\ud788 **\ucca0\uad11\uc11d(\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc218\ucd9c\ud488)**\uc774 **\ud1a4\ub2f9 125\ub2ec\ub7ec** \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\u2014\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 **\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ubc1b\uccd0\uc8fc\ub294 \ud798)**\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc5b4\ub450\uc6cc\uc838\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc00\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub9c9\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac **0.75** \ubd80\uadfc \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \ud798\uc774 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 **\uade0\ud615 \uc9c0\uc810**\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \uac19\uc740 \u2018\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud30c\uc0dd\ub41c \uc0c1\ud488\u2019\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c)**\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294, \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9bc)**\uacfc **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ud658\uacbd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc778\ud574 **AUD\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019)**\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c, **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)**\uc774\ub098 **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle, \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)** \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \u2018\ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ub3cc\ud30c\u2019\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc5d0\uac8c \ud765\ubbf8\ub85c\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 RBA\uc640 \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \uac07\ud790 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc740 **\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1b\ub294 \ub3c8)**\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **0.7350~0.7650** \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\u00a0\ud558\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>\ud558\uc138\uc694. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uae30, \uba48\ucdc4\ub294\ub370 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub354 \uc624\ub978\ub2e4? 1\uc6d4 \uc120\ud589\uc9c0\uc218 0.02%\ub85c \ub454\ud654, \uc18c\ube44\uc2ec\ub9ac\u00b7\uc8fc\ud0dd\uc2b9\uc778 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \ubc1c\ubaa9. \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uac00 AUD \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc RBA \ub9e4\ud30c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. AUD\/USD 0.75 \uadfc\ucc98. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38598","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38598"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38598\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38598"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38598"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38598"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}