{"id":38540,"date":"2026-02-18T06:33:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T06:33:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rbnz%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-nzd-usd-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%8c%8d%ec%9d%80-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%9e%85%eb%90%98\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T06:33:05","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T06:33:05","slug":"rbnz%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-nzd-usd-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%8c%8d%ec%9d%80-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%9e%85%eb%90%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rbnz%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-nzd-usd-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%8c%8d%ec%9d%80-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%9e%85%eb%90%98\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 NZD\/USD \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub418\uba70 \ub2e4\uc2dc 0.6000\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD\/USD)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ub4a4 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \uc804\ub0a0 1\uc8fc\uc77c\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uc800\uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \ub4a4 0.6000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc73c\uba70, 0.600 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nRBNZ\ub294 2\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uacf5\uc2dd \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b0 \ub4a4\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\ud480\uae30\ub97c \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5) \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc8fc\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

Rbnz Signals And Market Reaction<\/h3>\n\uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c RBNZ\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4)\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc624\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uacbd\ub85c(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \uc870\uc815\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc644\ud654\uc801(\uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub3d5\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\uac8c \ub450\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba70 \uc815\uc0c1 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ucc9c\ucc9c\ud788 \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud78c\ud2b8\ub97c \uc5bb\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc560\ub098 \ube0c\ub808\uba3c \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud070 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc57d\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub294\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uace0 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c 0.6000 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc00\ub824\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac12\uc740 \ud22c\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uad6c\uac04(\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc800\ud56d, \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc758\uc2dd\ud574 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ubab0\ub9ac\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc73c\ub85c, 2024~2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ubc88 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba70\uce60 \uc548\uc5d0 0.600 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uacc4\uc18d \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc \ubaa8\uba58\ud140, \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub354 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\uc740 2025\ub144\uc758 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc774\ud6c4\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc120\ud0dd\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2.9%\ub85c \ub454\ud654(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub290\ub824\uc9d0)\ub41c \uc810\uc740, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc628\ub2e4\ub294 RBNZ\uc758 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube0c\ub808\uba3c \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\uc810\uc9c4\uc801 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\u201d(gradual normalisation, \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc11c\uc11c\ud788 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83) \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \ub354 \uc55e\ub2f9\uaca8\uc9c8\uc9c0(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\/\ud638\ud0a4\uc2dc, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4) \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc9d1\uc911\ud574 \ubcfc \uc804\ub9dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

Usd Side Volatility And Positioning<\/h3>\n\ubc18\ub300\ud3b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \ub9c9\uc544\uc8fc\ub294 \uc5ed\ud560(\ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4, \ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ubc1b\uccd0\uc90c)\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.0%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c(\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c) \uc774\ub7f0 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4(\ub3c4\ube44\uc2dc, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4) \uac70\ub798 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud30c\uc0dd\ub41c \uacc4\uc57d) \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud798\uaca8\ub8e8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. NZD\/USD \uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc5d0\uc11c 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019 \uc218\uce58)\uc774 9.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774\ub098 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc62c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc911 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218(buying straddles, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 0.6000 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9(strike, \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ub454 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub9ce\uc740 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud558\ub77d \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc900\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

0.6000 \ubd95\uad34 \uc784\ubc15? RBNZ\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uba70 NZD\/USD\uac00 0.6000 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d \ube0c\ub808\ub9cc \ubc1c\uc5b8, Fed \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ud5a5\ubc29 \uc88c\uc6b0. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38540"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38540\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}