{"id":38530,"date":"2026-02-18T04:31:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T04:31:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ed%9b%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%eb%8b%b9%ea%b5%ad%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%9d%80-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T04:31:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T04:31:26","slug":"rba-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ed%9b%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%eb%8b%b9%ea%b5%ad%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%9d%80-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ed%9b%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%eb%8b%b9%ea%b5%ad%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%9d%80-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4, AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \u201c\uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc8fc \ud6c4\ubc18\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub300\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"RBA(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ud544\uc694\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc704\ud5d8(\uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548 \ub4f1) \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 3.60%\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 70%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc784\uae08\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218(Wage Price Index, \uc784\uae08\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc62c\ub790\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 2\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00(\uc774\uc804 6\ub9cc5,200\uba85), \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\ucc38\uac00\uc728(\uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\uac70\ub098 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ucc3e\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc758 \ube44\uc728) 66.8%, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(\uc77c\ud558\uace0 \uc2f6\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \ube44\uc728) 4.2%\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2\uc6d4 S&#038;P Global PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc7a0\uc815\uce58\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Fed Data And Market Focus<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 1\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c 10\ub300 2 \ud45c\uacb0\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2\uba85\uc740 \uc989\uc2dc \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \ucc98\uc74c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc640 \ud544\ub77c\ub378\ud53c\uc544 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc124\ubb38(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30 \uc124\ubb38\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0: \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uaddc\ubaa8) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 3.0%(\uc774\uc804 4.4%)\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3%\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300(UoM) \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac \ucd5c\uc885\uce58\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\nAUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 0.70754\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc791\ud574 0.70901~0.70283 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc624\uac14\uace0 0.70824\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud574 0.10% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub454 \ud3c9\uade0) 0.68497\uacfc 200\uc77c EMA 0.66344 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. 0.71473 \uace0\uc810 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uace0, 1\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 0.66636 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1(Stochastic, 14,5,5: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uace0\uc810\u00b7\uc800\uc810 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub85c \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 %K 77.27, %D 83.79\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0 0.70283 \ub2e4\uc74c 0.7000, \uc800\ud56d 0.7100 \ub2e4\uc74c 0.71473 \ubc0f 0.7200\uc774\ub2e4. AUD\ub294 RBA \uc815\ucc45, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c 2~3%, \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc218\uc694, 2021\ub144 1,180\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc218\ucd9c, \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0(\uc218\ucd9c-\uc218\uc785 \ucc28\uc774)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Technical And Macro Drivers<\/h3>\n\ud55c\ud3b8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc6b0\uc704)\uac00 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud0dc\ub3c4\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub420\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uc774\uba70 0.6550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 50\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubaa8\ub450\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4(\ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc5c6\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\ud558\uba70 0.6500\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\ub9ce\uc740 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\uac00 \uc758\uc2dd\ud574 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ubab0\ub9ac\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \ub465\uadfc \uc22b\uc790) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 0.6620 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc744 \ub118\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0(\uacf5\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud574 \ud638\uc8fc \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc778 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\uace0, \ud1a4\ub2f9 \uc57d 110\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub2ec \ud751\uc790 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(risk-off: \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30) \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354\ud574\uc838 AUD\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd(\uc545\uc7ac)\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud1b5\ud654(\uc704\ud5d8\ud1b5\ud654)\ub97c \uc0ac\ub294 \ub370 \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\ub098 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 0.6620 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uadfc\ucc98\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\ub85c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \ub54c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \uacc4\uae30\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\uc9c0 vs Fed \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0\u2014AUD\/USD \uc5b4\ub514\ub85c? \ud638\uc8fc \uc784\uae08\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9, \ubbf8\uad6d FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\u00b7GDP\u00b7PCE\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uacb0\uc815. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984, 0.6500 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b70.6620 \uc800\ud56d \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38530\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}