{"id":38529,"date":"2026-02-18T04:30:50","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T04:30:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%9d%bc%eb%b3%b4%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%b8%8c%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-rba%ea%b0%80-%eb%8d%94-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%84-%eb%b0%94%ed%83%95\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T04:30:50","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T04:30:50","slug":"%eb%9d%bc%eb%b3%b4%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%b8%8c%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-rba%ea%b0%80-%eb%8d%94-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%84-%eb%b0%94%ed%83%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%9d%bc%eb%b3%b4%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%b8%8c%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-rba%ea%b0%80-%eb%8d%94-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%84-%eb%b0%94%ed%83%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \uc5d0\ube0c\ub9ac\ub294 RBA\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, IMF\ub294 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubd80\ud480\ub9ac\ub294 5% \uc608\uce58\uae08 \uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ud3d0\uc9c0\ub97c \ucd09\uad6c\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c(Rabobank, \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc\uc758 \ud611\ub3d9\uc870\ud569 \uae08\uc735\uae30\uad00)\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \uc5d0\ube0c\ub9ac(Michael Every)\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c(\ud55c \ub098\ub77c \uc804\uccb4 \uacbd\uc81c: \ubb3c\uac00, \uc131\uc7a5, \uace0\uc6a9, \uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1) \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 **\ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654**\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA: Reserve Bank of Australia, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ud68c\uc758\ub85d(minutes: \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub17c\uc758\ub41c \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc744 \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uae30\ub85d)\uc740 **\uae08\ub9ac 25bp \uc778\uc0c1**(bps\/bp: \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 1bp=0.01%p \u2192 25bp=0.25%p) \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uba70, \uc9c1\uc6d0 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \u201c8\uc6d4\uacfc 11\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub4e0 \uc804\ub9dd\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4(materially stronger)**\u201d\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.\n\n\uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF: International Monetary Fund, \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc548\uc815\uacfc \uae08\uc735 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uae30\uad6c)\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 **\uc0dd\uc560 \uccab \uc8fc\ud0dd \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790**\ub97c \uc704\ud55c **5% \uc608\uce58\uae08(Deposit) \uc81c\ub3c4**(\uc9d1\uc744 \uc0b4 \ub54c \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uacc4\uc57d\uae08\/\uc790\uae30\uc790\ubcf8 \ube44\uc728\uc744 5%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdb0\uc8fc\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uac00 **\uc8fc\ud0dd \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc8fc\ud0dd \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)**\uc744 \ub354 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uace0, \uc774 \uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 **\ud3d0\uc9c0\ub3fc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4**\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 **\uc774\ubbf8 \ub108\ubb34 \ub2a6\uc5c8\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4**\ub294 \uacbd\uace0\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucda9\ub3cc<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uae00\uc740 **\uc8fc\ud0dd \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uc815\ucc45**\uacfc **\ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac**\uac00 \uc11e\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc **\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uce90\uc2dc \ub808\uc774\ud2b8(Overnight Cash Rate)** \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4. (\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uce90\uc2dc \ub808\uc774\ud2b8: \uc740\ud589\ub07c\ub9ac \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac\ub85c \ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud55c\ub2e4.) \ub610\ud55c RBA\uac00 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uad00\ub828 \uc870\uce58\uac00 **\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4**\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uae00\uc740 **\uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5 \ub3c4\uad6c**\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud600\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubbf8<\/h3>\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc774\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**(volatility: \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubd88\uacfc \uba87 \ub2ec \uc804(2025\ub144 \ub9d0)\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 **\ube60\ub974\uace0 \uac15\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c**\ub85c \ubc00\ub824\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc635\uc158(options: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c **\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654**\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uadf8 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. (\ud5e4\uc9c0: \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798)\n\n\ub610\ud55c **ASX 30\uc77c \uc778\ud130\ubc45\ud06c \uce90\uc2dc \ub808\uc774\ud2b8 \uc120\ubb3c**(ASX: \ud638\uc8fc \uc99d\uad8c\uac70\ub798\uc18c, 30\uc77c \uc740\ud589 \uac04 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c)\uc744 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c(futures: \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc870\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 **\ucd94\uac00 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131**\uc744 \ucd5c\uc18c 70%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uc758 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300**\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub4a4\uc9d1\ud78c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\uc651(swaps: \uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \ud604\uae08\ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc11c\ub85c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc73c\ub85c **\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654**(higher-for-longer: \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(positioning: \ud22c\uc790 \ub178\ucd9c\/\ubca0\ud305 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \uac83)\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uc81c, \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 vs \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc9c0\uc6d0\u2019 \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \uae34\ucd95\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, IMF\ub294 5% \ubcf4\uc99d\uae08 \uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc9d1\uac12\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38529\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}