{"id":38519,"date":"2026-02-18T01:31:55","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T01:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/s-6780%ec%84%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b4-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T01:31:55","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T01:31:55","slug":"s-6780%ec%84%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b4-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/s-6780%ec%84%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b4-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5\/","title":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4; 6780\uc120\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub418\uba74 4\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9(EW, **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud30c\ub3c4\ucc98\ub7fc \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ud328\ud134\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d \ubc29\ubc95**)\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\uac04 \ub2e8\uc704(\ud0c0\uc784\ud504\ub808\uc784, **1\uc2dc\uac04\/\uc77c\uac04\/\uc8fc\uac04\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcf4\ub294 \uae30\uac04**)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ud30c\ub3d9\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae30\ubcf8 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 **3\ub2e8\uacc4 \uc0c1\uc2b9, 2\ub2e8\uacc4 \ud558\ub77d**\uc774\uba70, \ud504\ub799\ud0c8 \ud328\ud134(**\ud070 \ud328\ud134 \uc548\uc5d0 \uc791\uc740 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ubaa8\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\uc870**)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\ub300\uac00 \uae68\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c4\ud589 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd08\uc810\uc740 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810(\ucd08\ub85d W-4) \uc774\ud6c4 S&#038;P 500 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ucd08\ub85d Wave-5\ub85c \ud45c\uae30\ud558\uace0 **\uacb9\uce58\ub294 \uc5d4\ub529 \ub2e4\uc774\uc544\uace0\ub110(ED, \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud30c\ub3d9\ub4e4\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \ub05d\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 5\ud30c \uad6c\uc870)**\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. ED\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ub2e8\uacc4\ub300\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294\uc9c0 \ucd94\uc801\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Ending Diagonal Structure<\/h3>\n\uc5d4\ub529 \ub2e4\uc774\uc544\uace0\ub110\uc740 \uc11c\ub85c \uacb9\uce58\ub294 5\uac1c \ud30c\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4: \ud68c\uc0c9 W-i, ii, iii, iv, v. \uac01 \ud68c\uc0c9 \ud30c\ub3d9\uc740 \ub2e4\uc2dc 3\ud30c \uad6c\uc870(**3\ubc88\uc5d0 \ub098\ub220 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc791\uc740 \ud328\ud134**)\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc838 \uacb9\uce68\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc791\ub144 10\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 6985\ub97c 10\ubc88 \ucc0d\uc5c8\uace0 6780 \ubd80\uadfc \uc9c0\uc9c0(**\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ubc1b\uccd0\uc8fc\ub294 \uad6c\uac04**)\ub294 4\ubc88 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(**\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uad6c\uac04**)\uc774 \ud615\uc131 \uc911\uc774\uba70, \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \uc57d 7190(6985+6985-6780), \ud558\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 6575(6780-6985+6780)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud575\uc2ec \uc218\uc900\uc740 11\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 6521\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 6521 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 ED\uac00 \ub05d\ub0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ud070 \uac80\uc740 W-4(\uc774\uc0c1\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 5500-6125)\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n6780\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\ub294\uc9c0\ub294 \uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uacbd\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub418\uba70, \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00(**\ud558\ub8e8 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ub05d\ub09c \uac00\uaca9**)\uac00 6780 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ub05d\ub0ac\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc774 60%\ub77c\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. 6780\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74 \ud68c\uc0c9 W-v\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uc804\ud658\uc77c \uad6c\uac04(**\ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc2dc\uae30**)\uae4c\uc9c0 7120-7190\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 6780\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 6575\ub97c \uad00\ucc30\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Options Positioning Framework<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub20c\ub824 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, S&#038;P 500\uc740 6780 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc640 6985 \uc800\ud56d(**\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9c9\ud788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04**) \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uac07\ud600 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub9dd\uc124\uc784\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \uc313\uc774\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub418\uba70, \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives, **\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488**) \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub77c\uba74 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \uc900\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc7a5\uae30 \uad50\ucc29\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdc4\uace0, VIX(**S&#038;P 500 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c, \u201c\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u201d\ub85c\ub3c4 \ubd88\ub9bc**)\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810 13.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, **\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\u2019**)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc800\ub834\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, **\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305**)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle, **\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305**)\ucc98\ub7fc \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc0c1\ubc29\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 6985\ub97c \uc704\ub85c \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud574 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158(**\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac**) \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull put spread, **\ud48b\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\/\uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uc870**)\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 7120-7190 \uad6c\uac04\uc774\uba70, \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ud30c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc704\ud574 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \ub610\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30(expiration, **\uc635\uc158\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\ub294 \ub0a0\uc9dc**)\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. RSI\uc758 \uc591(\uae0d\uc815) \ub2e4\uc774\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4(positive divergence, **\uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc57d\ud574\ub3c4 RSI\uac00 \ub35c \uc57d\ud574\uc838 \ud798\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638**)\ub294 \ub9e4\uc218 \ucabd(\ubd88, bulls)\uc774 \ud798\uc744 \uac00\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e8\uc11c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc18c\ub85c \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 CPI(**\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c**)\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc870\uae08 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, **\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(tightening, **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ucd95\uc18c \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uac15\ud654**) \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \ud798\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4\uc6d4\ubb3c 7100\uacfc 7200 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815(open interest, **\uc544\uc9c1 \uccad\uc0b0\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d \uc218**)\uc774 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc313\uc5ec \uc788\uc5b4, \uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\uac00 \ub9ce\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c 6780 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00\uac00 \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba74 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uccab \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uace0\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc6a9 \ud48b(**\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\ud5d8 \uc131\uaca9**) \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear call spread, **\ucf5c\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uc870**)\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 6575\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 6521\uc774 \uae68\uc9c0\uba74 \ud070 \uace0\uc810 \ud615\uc131\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub418\uace0, \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2023\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ub2f5\ub2f5\ud55c \ud6a1\ubcf4\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac15\ud55c \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub54c\ub3c4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uace0 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucef8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ub7f0 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9bc\uc774 \ubcf4\uc0c1\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P500\uc740 EW \uc5d4\ub529 \ub2e4\uc774\uc544\uace0\ub0a0\ub85c 6780~6985 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \u2018\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u2019 \ucd95\uc801 \uc911. 6985 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 7120~7190, 6780 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 6575\u00b76521 \ubd95\uad34\uba74 \ub300\uc138 \ud558\ub77d \uacbd\uace0. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"S&amp;P500\uc740 EW \uc5d4\ub529 \ub2e4\uc774\uc544\uace0\ub0a0\ub85c 6780~6985 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \u2018\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u2019 \ucd95\uc801 \uc911. 6985 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 7120~7190, 6780 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 6575\u00b76521 \ubd95\uad34\uba74 \ub300\uc138 \ud558\ub77d \uacbd\uace0. - vtmarkets.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/s-6780%ec%84%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b4-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"S&amp;P 500\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4; 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