{"id":38468,"date":"2026-02-17T12:35:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T12:35:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%eb%9d%bc%ec%9e%90%eb%8a%94-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85\/"},"modified":"2026-02-17T12:35:46","modified_gmt":"2026-02-17T12:35:46","slug":"%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%eb%9d%bc%ec%9e%90%eb%8a%94-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%eb%9d%bc%ec%9e%90%eb%8a%94-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c5\uc77c\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub77c\uc790\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, HMRC(\uc601\uad6d \uc138\ubb34 \ub2f9\uad6d)\uc758 \uae09\uc5ec \uba85\ubd80(payroll, \ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc6d0 \uba85\ub2e8)\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c \uc788\ub294 \uc9c1\uc6d0 \uc218\uac00 5\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 \u201c\uc18d\ubcf4 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\u201d(flash estimate, \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uba3c\uc800 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc7a0\uc815 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 1\ub9cc1\ucc9c \uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nLFS(Labour Force Survey, \ub178\ub3d9\ub825 \uc870\uc0ac: \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac) \uc790\ub8cc \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc815\ub9ac\ud574\uace0(redundancies, \ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \uc778\uc6d0\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ub05d\ub0b4\ub294 \ud574\uace0)\ub294 14\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(unemployment rate, \uc77c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0 \uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ubabb \ucc3e\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc758 \ube44\uc728)\uc740 5.2%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uc720(\uc778\ub825 \ub0a8\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4) \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n\ub2e8\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 5.4%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uccad\ub144 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(youth unemployment, \ubcf4\ud1b5 16~24\uc138 \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960)\uc740 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 16.1%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\ub800\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n16~64\uc138 \u2018\ube44\uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\u2019(economically inactive, \uc77c\ub3c4 \uad6c\uc9c1\ub3c4 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c) \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 23%\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uc6d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucc44\uc6a9 \uc758\ud5a5(hiring intentions, \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc744 \ubf51\uc73c\ub824\ub294 \uacc4\ud68d)\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(Bank of England)\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(rate cuts, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c 2\ucc28\ub840 \ub354 \ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \uc5ec\ub984 \uc804\ud6c4\uac00 \uc720\ub825\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(wage growth, \uc784\uae08\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4)\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 CPI(Consumer Price Index, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uc0dd\ud65c\ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ubd04\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uac70\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 5.2%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \ub4f1 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ubcf4\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub824\uba74 SONIA \uc120\ubb3c(SONIA futures, \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778 SONIA\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub354 \ud798\uc744 \uc5bb\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ONS(Office for National Statistics, \uc601\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad)\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 5.3%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud655\uc778\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.0%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub3d5\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc808\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc815\ucc45)\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc(British Pound)\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825(\uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00\uce58 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put options, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(interest rate differential, \ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba70 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacfc\uac70 \uc644\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2008\ub144 \uae08\uc735\uc704\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4\ucc98\ub7fc \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae08\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc815\uccb4\ub41c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uc870\uac74\uacfc \ub2ee\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc8fc\uc2dd(equities)\uc5d0\ub294 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. FTSE 250 \uc9c0\uc218 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call options, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. FTSE 250\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \ub0b4\uc218 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ub9ce\uc544 \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ub354 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1b\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9(borrowing costs, \ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9b4 \ub54c \ub4dc\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \ubd80\ub2f4)\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0, \uc5ec\ub984 \ubb34\ub835 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc744 \ub192\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \ud3ed\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ubc29\uc5b4(hedge, \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ubc18\ub300 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubcf4\ud638 \uc804\ub7b5) \uc7a5\uce58\ub85c \uc0bc\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4: \uae09\uc5ec\uadfc\ub85c\uc790 5\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 5.2~5.4%\u00b7\uccad\ub144 16.1%. \ud574\uace0\ub3c4 \ub192\uc544 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ac\ub799 \ud655\ub300. \uc784\uae08 \ub454\ud654\ub85c BOE \uc5ec\ub984 \uc804 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138\u00b7FTSE250 \uac15\uc138\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38468\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}