{"id":38314,"date":"2026-02-16T03:58:36","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T03:58:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92%ec%9d%80-5050%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%84%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%b8-5030%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/"},"modified":"2026-02-16T03:58:36","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T03:58:36","slug":"%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92%ec%9d%80-5050%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%84%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%b8-5030%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92%ec%9d%80-5050%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%84%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%b8-5030%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%eb%90%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uae08\uac12\uc740 5,050\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc778 5,030\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc804 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud558\uba70 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uae08\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300\uc5d0 \ud2b8\ub85c\uc774\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 5,030\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\uc804 \uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc5d0 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4 5,050\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0(\uc608: \uae08)\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 12\uc6d4\uc758 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uace0, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 2.5%\ub3c4 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 0.2%\ub85c 0.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 0.3%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9(\uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uae30\ub300)\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 3\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\uacb0(\ubcc0\uacbd \uc5c6\uc74c)\ub418\uace0, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp)\uc529 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Nonfarm Payrolls, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \ube80 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218)\uc740 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud06c\uac8c \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(Unemployment Rate, \uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc758 \ube44\uc728)\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud575 \ud611\uc0c1\uacfc, \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \ub05d\ub0b4\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \ub178\ub825\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc0ac\ub824 \ud558\ub294\uc9c0)\uc640 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud560 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uafb8\uc900\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ub4f1\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\uc744 \uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774\ub294 \uac83)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c)\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ube60\uc838\ub098\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\uc774\uc57c\uae30\ub294 2025\ub144 1\uc6d4 CPI 2.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 CPI\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc7c1\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba70, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \u2018\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\u2019 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc694\uc18c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n– \uc635\uc158(option)\uc740 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00)\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ub0a0(\ub9cc\uae30)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac(\uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac=\ucf5c, \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac=\ud48b)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n– \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility)\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub2f4\uae34 \u201c\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c\uc9c0\u201d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uae08 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle)\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n– \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc5d0\uc11c \uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n– \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00\uc740 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c(\ubcf4\ud1b5 \ucf5c\uc740 \ub354 \uc704, \ud48b\uc740 \ub354 \uc544\ub798) \uc7a1\uc544 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \ub354 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\uc774\ub7f0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub098 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \ud2b9\uc815 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucabd(\uac15\uc138) \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74 \uae34\uc7a5\ub41c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \uc774\uc288 \ub300\uc2e0, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub0a8\uc911\uad6d\ud574\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 5,500\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \ub54c \uc790\uc8fc \ub9c9\ud788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04) \uc704\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uba74, \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub294 \ub3c8)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ub048\uc801\ud55c(\uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uae08\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 5,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc790\uc8fc \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uad6c\uac04) \uc544\ub798\uc758 \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud5e4\uc9c0(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4) \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c(futures, \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ud2b9\uc815 \ub0a0\uc9dc\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\ub85c \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uace0\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ucf5c \ub808\uc774\uc2dc\uc624 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call ratio spread)\ub97c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c 1\uac1c\ub97c \uc0ac\uace0, \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc744 2\uac1c \ud30c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n– \uc7a5\uc810: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ucc9c\ucc9c\ud788 \uc624\ub97c \ub54c(\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n– \uc8fc\uc758\uc810: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uba74, \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud55c \ucf5c(2\uac1c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc704\ud5d8 \uad00\ub9ac\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nVT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uae08\uac12\uc774 5,030\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2014\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2026\ub144 CPI \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc9c0\uc18d. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38314","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38314","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38314"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38314\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38314"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}