{"id":38311,"date":"2026-02-16T02:59:42","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T02:59:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%ea%b3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad%ec%9d%98-%ed%9c%b4%ec%9d%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ea%b0%80-%ec%9c%84%ec%b6%95%eb%8f%bc-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1\/"},"modified":"2026-02-16T02:59:42","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T02:59:42","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%ea%b3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad%ec%9d%98-%ed%9c%b4%ec%9d%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ea%b0%80-%ec%9c%84%ec%b6%95%eb%8f%bc-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%ea%b3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad%ec%9d%98-%ed%9c%b4%ec%9d%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ea%b0%80-%ec%9c%84%ec%b6%95%eb%8f%bc-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ud734\uc77c\ub85c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc704\ucd95\ub3fc \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300\uc5d0 1.1860 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ud55c \uc8fc\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uace0, 1.1850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \ud3ed\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u2018\ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ub0a0(\ubbf8\uad6d \uacf5\ud734\uc77c)\u2019\ub85c \ud734\uc7a5\ud588\uace0, \uc911\uad6d \ubcf8\ud1a0\ub3c4 \u2018\ucd98\uc808(\uc74c\ub825 \uc124) \uc5f0\ud734\u2019\ub85c \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \uc26c\uba74\uc11c \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc870\uc6a9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \u201c\uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.4% \uc62c\ub77c 12\uc6d4\uc758 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 2.5%\ub3c4 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 CPI\ub294 0.2%\ub85c, \uc774\uc804 0.3% \ubc0f \uc608\uc0c1 0.3%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45(\uae08\ub9ac) \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790\uc218(Nonfarm Payrolls, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00 \uaddc\ubaa8)\uac00 1\ub144 \ub118\uac8c \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(Unemployment Rate, \uc77c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c \uc911 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \ube44\uc728)\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 3\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub450\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p) \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub450 \ubc88 \ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nCME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch, \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uac70\uc758 90%\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 1\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 81%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc62c\ub77c\uac04 \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uccab \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 6\uc6d4\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70 \uadf8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 52%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc720\ub85c\ub294 ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uac71\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2f4 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \u201c\uc88b\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\u201d\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uace0, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uacfc\ubbfc\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uc9c0 \ub9d0\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h3>\n2026\ub144 1\uc6d4\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\uac00 3.1%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc744 \ub180\ub77c\uac8c \ud588\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP(\uc870\ud654 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2.2%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uace0, \uc5ec\ub7ec ECB \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uacbd\uae30\ubd80\uc591(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \uac1c\uc120\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud574 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uaca9)\uac00 1.1000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u201c\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac70\ub098 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\u201d\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \u201c\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc644\ud654\ucc45\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\u201d\uc778 ECB\ub97c \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub354 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c\uc9c0\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)\uc774 8.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \ubd88\uacfc \ub450 \ub2ec \uc804\uc758 \uc800\uc810 6.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub69c\ub837\ud574 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uaddc\ubaa8(\ud55c \ubc88\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \ud06c\uae30)\ub97c \uc2e0\uc911\ud788 \uc815\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uc7a5\uc138 \uc18d EUR\/USD 1.1850\ub300 \uc57d\uc138 \ucd9c\ubc1c. \ubbf8 CPI \ub454\ud654\ub85c 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ub0a8\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7ECB \uc644\ud654 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38311"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38311\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}