{"id":38286,"date":"2026-02-14T02:58:47","date_gmt":"2026-02-14T02:58:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-cftc-%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%eb%b9%84%ec%83%81%ec%97%85%ec%a0%81-%ec%88%9c%ed%8f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%85%98-1%eb%a7%8c9100%ea%b3%84%ec%95%bd-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-02-14T02:58:47","modified_gmt":"2026-02-14T02:58:47","slug":"%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-cftc-%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%eb%b9%84%ec%83%81%ec%97%85%ec%a0%81-%ec%88%9c%ed%8f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%85%98-1%eb%a7%8c9100%ea%b3%84%ec%95%bd-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-cftc-%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0%ec%84%9c-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%eb%b9%84%ec%83%81%ec%97%85%ec%a0%81-%ec%88%9c%ed%8f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%85%98-1%eb%a7%8c9100%ea%b3%84%ec%95%bd-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc77c\ubcf8 CFTC \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c: \uc5d4\ud654 \ube44\uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 -1\ub9cc9,100\uacc4\uc57d, \uc774\uc804\uc758 -1\ub9cc9,200\uacc4\uc57d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac1c\uc120"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc77c\ubcf8 CFTC(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\ud488\uc120\ubb3c\uac70\ub798\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 JPY(\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4) **\ube44\uc0c1\uc5c5(non-commercial, \ud22c\uae30 \ubaa9\uc801)** \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(net positions, **\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud569\uce5c \uc21c\uc218\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uaddc\ubaa8**)\uc740 **\u00a5-19.1K**\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58\ub294 **\u00a5-19.2K**\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5d4\ud654 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacfc\ubc00<\/h3>\n\n\ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30 \uc138\ub825(large speculators, **\ud5e4\uc9c0\ud380\ub4dc \ub4f1 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ud070 \uc790\uae08**)\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 **-19.1K \uacc4\uc57d(contracts, \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc4f0\ub294 \u2018\uac70\ub798 \ub2e8\uc704\u2019)**\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\uc8fc\uc758 **-19.2K**\uc640 \uac70\uc758 \uac19\uc544, \uac15\ud55c \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub354 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 **\uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(carry trade, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \ube4c\ub824 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud574 \u2018\uc774\uc790 \ucc28\uc774\u2019\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798)**\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, **\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**) \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc57d **3.5%** \uc218\uc900\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ, **\uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**)\uc740 **0.25%**\ub85c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc774\uc720\uc774\uba70, \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \ube4c\ub824 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc790\uc8fc \ubcf4\uc600\ub358, \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc774\ub04c\ub358 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud55c\ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub9ce\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\uba74(\u201ccrowded\u201d, **\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc3e0\ub9bc**) \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \ub274\uc2a4 \ud558\ub098\ub85c\ub3c4 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654(\uc815\ucc45 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc815\uc0c1 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uacfc\uc815) \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uac15\ud55c **\uc1fc\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud034\uc988(short squeeze, \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae09\ud788 \ub418\uc0ac\uba74\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)**\uac00 \ub098\uc628 \uc801\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c(volatile metrics, **\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc218\uce58**)\uc778 CME\uc758 CVOL \uc9c0\uc218(CVOL index, **CME\uac00 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uae30\ubc18 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218**)\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uac00\ubccd\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub4ef\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d4\ud654 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158, \u2018\ub9cc\uc6d0\ubc84\uc2a4\u2019 \ub410\ub2e4? CFTC \ube44\uc0c1\uc5c5 JPY \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 -19.1K\ub85c \uc804\uc8fc(-19.2K)\uc640 \uac70\uc758 \ub3d9\uc77c. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \uce90\ub9ac \uc9c0\uc18d, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc548\ub3c4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc BoJ \uae34\ucd95 \uc2e0\ud638 \ub550 \uc20f\uc2a4\ud034\uc988 \uc704\ud5d8\u2014\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uad8c\uace0. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38286","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38286"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38286\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38286"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38286"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}