{"id":38245,"date":"2026-02-13T16:58:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T16:58:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%ec%9b%a8%ec%9d%b4-1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-202627%eb%85%84-%ec%84%9d\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T16:58:19","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T16:58:19","slug":"%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%ec%9b%a8%ec%9d%b4-1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-202627%eb%85%84-%ec%84%9d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%ec%9b%a8%ec%9d%b4-1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-202627%eb%85%84-%ec%84%9d\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub374\uc2a4\ucf00\uc740\ud589 \u201c\ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c 2026~27\ub144 \uc11d\uc720 \ud22c\uc790 \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc11d\uc720 \ud22c\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc740 2,553\uc5b5 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124(NOK), 2027\ub144\uc740 2,011\uc5b5 NOK\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uba85\ubaa9(\ubb3c\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uae08\uc561 \uae30\uc900)**\uc73c\ub85c 2026\ub144 0.6%, 2027\ub144 2.0% \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**\ube44\uc6a9 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ud22c\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc989 \ub3c8\uc758 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 \uac19\uc740 \uc791\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ub3c8\uc774 \ub4dc\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)**\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\uba74, \ucd94\uc815\ub418\ub294 **\ud22c\uc790 \ubb3c\ub7c9(\uae08\uc561\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc2e4\uc81c \ud22c\uc790 \uaddc\ubaa8\u00b7\uc218\ub7c9)**\uc740 \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c(Norges Bank, \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 12\uc6d4 MPR \uc804\ub9dd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uac15\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. **MPR(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c, Monetary Policy Report: \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \uc815\uae30 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c)**\uc5d0\uc11c \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \ubb3c\ub7c9 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 2026\ub144 -3%, 2027\ub144 -6%\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc11d\uc720 \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638 \ud574\uc11d<\/h3>\n\ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc774\ub2e4 \ubcfc\ub4e0 \ubc14\ucf00(Ida Wolden Bache)\uc758 \uc5f0\ub840 \uc5f0\uc124\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 **\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc808\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)** \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \uc62c\ud574\ubd80\ud130 **\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC, Monetary Policy Committee: \uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c)** \ub17c\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc744 \uc694\uc57d\ud574 \uacf5\uac1c\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 **\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc548\ub0b4)**\ub97c \uac1c\uc120\ud558\uace0 MPC \ud68c\uc758\uc77c\uc758 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)**\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc0c8 \uc11d\uc720 \ud22c\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub192\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub9dd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uace7 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)**\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uc124\ubb38 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc608\uc678\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc774\ubbf8 \ud2bc\ud2bc\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc2e0\ud638\ub4e4\ub3c4 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 1\uc6d4 **\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(\uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uad6c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc758 \ube44\uc728)**\uc740 3.4%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud588\uace0, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\uc804 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacbd\uc81c \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \ub354 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud06c\ub85c\ub124 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124(NOK)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c **\uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uc720\u00b7\uac70\ub798 \uc0c1\ud0dc)**\uc744 \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c \ub300\ube44 NOK **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option, \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, EUR\/NOK \uac19\uc740 **\ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(\ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc9dd\uc9c0\uc5b4 \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud658\uc728, \uc608: EUR\/NOK)**\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money, \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac00\uaca9 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud589\uc0ac\ud574\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294)** **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option, \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uc720\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc120\ub418\ub294 **\uacbd\uc81c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uae30\ucd08 \uacbd\uc81c \uc5ec\uac74)**\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uafb8\uc900\ud55c \uc6b0\ud638 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c, \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 \uc815\ucc45 \ub17c\uc758 \uc694\uc57d\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud55c \uc18c\uc2dd\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c **\ud22c\uba85\uc131(\uc815\ubcf4 \uacf5\uac1c \uc218\uc900)** \uac15\ud654\ub294 \ud68c\uc758\uc77c\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\ub054 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc740 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \ud68c\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uac78\ub9b0 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\ub85c\ub124\uc758 **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\u2019)**\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uac8c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub9e4\uaca8\uc84c\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. EUR\/NOK **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)**\uc744 **\ub9e4\ub3c4(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)**\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u201c\uae5c\uc9dd \ubc1c\ud45c\u201d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124\uac00 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc774\uace0 \ub35c \uc694\ub3d9\uce58\uba70 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc18c\ud1b5 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \uadf8 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uacfc\uc815\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub044\ub7ec\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \uc11d\uc720\ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \ub4a4\uc5ce\uc5c8\ub2e4: 2026\ub144 2553\uc5b5 NOK, 2027\ub144 2011\uc5b5. \uc2e4\uc9c8 \ud22c\uc790 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654, \ud06c\ub85c\ub124 \uac15\uc138\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc\uc0ac. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38245","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38245"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38245\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}