{"id":38239,"date":"2026-02-13T15:57:47","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T15:57:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%95%a0%eb%84%90%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-cpi-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T15:57:47","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T15:57:47","slug":"%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%95%a0%eb%84%90%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-cpi-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%95%a0%eb%84%90%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-cpi-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(Dollar Index, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uac15\ud55c\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 1\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI(Consumer Price Index, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801 \uc815\ubd80 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4(\uc815\ubd80 \uc5c5\ubb34\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc911\ub2e8\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ub2a6\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub4a4\ub77c \ub354 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8(\uacbd\uc81c \ubd84\uc11d\uac00)\ub4e4\uc740 1\uc6d4 CPI \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778(\uc804\uccb4 \uc218\uce58, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9 \ud3ec\ud568) \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 +0.26%\ub85c, 12\uc6d4\uc758 +0.31%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9\uc774 -2.4% \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\uce58\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4.\n\n

Inflation Data Watch<\/h3>\n

Core Inflation Outlook<\/h3>\n\uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(core CPI, \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 +0.35%\ub85c \ub354 \uac15\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83) \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n12\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758(\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\ub294 53bp\uc758 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uace0, \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 +5.3bp \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac \ub2e8\uc704)\ub294 1bp=0.01%p\ub2e4. \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5(Fed Chair, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc758\uc7a5) \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uc644\ud654(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\nEUR\/USD\uac00 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ub2e4\uc74c \ubbf8\uad6d CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc5d0 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub294 \ubc14\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub300\ub7b5 50bp\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2e4\ub974\uba74 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(\ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud658\uc728, \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/USD)\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc77c\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub17c\uc7c1\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc57d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ud6e8\uc52c \uac15\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \ud63c\ub780\uc774 \uc0dd\uacbc\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud070 \uc218\uce58\ub9cc \ubcf4\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uace0 \uc138\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc744 \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.\n\n

Market Volatility Outlook<\/h3>\n

Options Strategy Considerations<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158(options, \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uac70\ub098 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\u2019)\uc774 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ucc98\ub7fc \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\uac00 \uc881\uc744 \ub54c\ub294 \uc885\uc885 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3, \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc720\ub825\ud55c \ucd09\ubc1c \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 2025\ub144 \ub9d0~2026\ub144 \ucd08 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud55c \ucd1d \uac00\uce58) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 1.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 18\ub9cc \uba85\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uba70 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294(data-dependent, \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\ub294) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9dd\uc124\uc784\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.\n\n\ud2b9\uc815 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(spread, \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870)\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8(defined-risk, \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc0c1 \uc815\ud574\uc9d0)\uc73c\ub85c \uc758\uacac\uc744 \ud45c\ud604\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ud30c\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305)\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4, \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ud30c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubca0\ud305)\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d 1\uc6d4 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uac15\uc138, EUR\/USD\ub294 \uad00\ub9dd. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d \uc18d \ucf54\uc5b4 CPI \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38239","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38239"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38239\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38239"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38239"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38239"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}