{"id":38195,"date":"2026-02-13T04:58:57","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T04:58:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/0-6050-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-nzd-usd%eb%8a%94-2%ec%9b%94-%ec%84%b1%eb%aa%85-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T04:58:57","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T04:58:57","slug":"0-6050-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-nzd-usd%eb%8a%94-2%ec%9b%94-%ec%84%b1%eb%aa%85-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/0-6050-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-nzd-usd%eb%8a%94-2%ec%9b%94-%ec%84%b1%eb%aa%85-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"0.6050 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c NZD\/USD\ub294 2\uc6d4 \uc131\uba85 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 RBNZ\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD\ub294 0.6050~0.6057 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, 2\uc8fc \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 0.6057\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2\uc6d4 18\uc77c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ, Reserve Bank of New Zealand)\uc758 \uc131\uba85\uacfc, RBNZ \ub610\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Fed, Federal Reserve)\uc758 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd(\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)** \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\nRBNZ\ub294 2024\ub144 8\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR, Official Cash Rate: \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)** \ub97c \ucd1d 325bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, **0.01%p** \ub2e8\uc704) \uc778\ud558\ud55c \ub4a4, OCR\uc744 2.25%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 5.4%, \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc728 0.5%(\uc608\uc0c1 0.3%)\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 75%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 Fed \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\uc6d4 **\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Non-Farm Payrolls: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc218)** \uc774 13\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc640, Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 6\uc6d4\uc5d0\uc11c 7\uc6d4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub904\uc84c\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, Consumer Price Index: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654)** \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 **\uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44**(month-on-month, **\uc804\uc6d4\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc728**) \uc804\uccb4 CPI 0.29%, **\uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(core CPI: \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)** 0.39%\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c(technical: **\uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\ud2b8\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\/\uc800\ud56d \ub4f1 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d**) \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 2\uc6d4 6\uc77c \uc800\uc810 0.5937 \uc774\ud6c4 0.6000 \uc704\ub97c \uc9c0\ucf30\uace0, 0.6050 **\ud53c\ubc97(pivot: \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\ub300)** \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. **\uc800\ud56d(resistance: \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)** \uc740 0.6100 \uadfc\ucc98\ub2e4. **RSI(Relative Strength Index: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\uc778\uc9c0 \uc57d\ud55c\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)** \ub294 \uc57d 55\uc774\uba70, **50\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA, Simple Moving Average: \ucd5c\uadfc 50\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9)** \uc740 0.5950 \uadfc\ucc98, **200\uc77c SMA(\uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0)** \ub294 \uadf8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\ub2e4.\n\n1\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 0.6030~0.6060 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. 0.6100\uc744 \ub118\uae30\uba74 0.6120~0.6150\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uace0, 0.6000 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 0.5950\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>RBNZ \ud68c\uc758 \uc804 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc 2\uc6d4 18\uc77c RBNZ \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 **\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(forward guidance: \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud560\uc9c0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc54c\ub824 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0)** \ub2e4. 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\ub294 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 75%\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \ud45c\ud604\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uac00 **3\uc6d4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \uc744, **\ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike price: \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uaca9)** 0.6100 \uc704\ub85c \ub450\uace0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ucabd) \uae5c\uc9dd \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\ubcf8 \uc5ec\uac74(\uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uc815\ucc45 \ud658\uacbd)\uc740 2025\ub144 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac, \uc810\ucc28 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc911\uc778 **\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uacbd\ub9e4 \uc9c0\uc218(Global Dairy Trade index: \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc778 \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)** \uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 **\uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(terms of trade: \uc218\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc218\uc785\uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c\uc9c0)** \uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBNZ\uac00 Fed\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 **\uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074(easing cycle: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984)** \uc744 \ub05d\ub0c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uac70\ub798 \uc544\uc774\ub514\uc5b4\ub294 RBNZ\uc640 Fed\uc758 **\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(divergence: \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)** \ub2e4. Fed\ub294 7\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, RBNZ\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 NZD\/USD \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 3\ubd84\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 **\ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread: \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \ub97c \uc4f0\uba74, \uc190\uc775 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc815\ud574 \ub450\uace0 \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc 0.6100\uc758 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uacfc, 2014~2015\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \ubcf4\ub294 5.4%\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uc57d\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 RBNZ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uac15\uc138 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ud658\uc728\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)** \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740, 0.6100\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud788\uace0 0.6000 **\uc9c0\uc9c0(support: \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)** \ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \ub54c\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \uad6c\uc131\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\ud558\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>\ud558\uc138\uc694. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD 0.6050\ub300 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c, \ub3cc\ud30c\ub294 \uc624\ub298 \u7f8e CPI\uac00 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud55c\ub2e4! RBNZ\ub294 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 75%. 0.6100 \uc800\ud56d\u00b70.6000 \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uc635\uc158\uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38195","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38195","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38195"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38195\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38195"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38195"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38195"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}