{"id":38194,"date":"2026-02-13T04:58:23","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T04:58:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rba-%eb%a9%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%a7%80-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%8a%94-0-7140-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T04:58:23","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T04:58:23","slug":"%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rba-%eb%a9%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%a7%80-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%8a%94-0-7140-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rba-%eb%a9%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%a7%80-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%8a%94-0-7140-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 RBA \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 0.7140 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc57d 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 0.7140\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70(2023\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900) \uc218\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\ucc98\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud78c \ub4a4 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. \n– **AUD\/USD**: \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\uc758 \ud658\uc728. \n– **RBA(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**: \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad00. \n– **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158**: \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1.\n\nRBA\ub294 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 **\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate)** \ub97c 25bp \uc62c\ub824 3.85%\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. **\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac**\ub294 RBA\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0bc\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud55c \ubc88 \ub354 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 74%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 38bp(0.38%p)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub294 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c(2025\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0) \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. \n– **bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)**: \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654 \ub2e8\uc704. 1bp = 0.01%p. \n– **\ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(tightening)**: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ucc98\ub7fc \ub3c8\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc870\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45.\n\n

Key Macro Drivers<\/h3>\nAUD \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 **CPI**(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218) \uc57d\uc138\uc640 **\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(PPI) \ud558\ub77d**(\uae30\uc5c5 \ucd9c\uace0\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\uc6d4 **\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)** \uc774 13\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1(7\ub9cc \uba85)\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \n– **CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)**: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c. \n– **\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(PPI)**: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ucd9c\uace0\ud560 \ub54c\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c. \n– **\ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \ud558\ub77d)**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1. \n– **NFP(\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9)**: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \ube80 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc6d4\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uaddc\ubaa8.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc9c4 \ubbf8\uad6d 1\uc6d4 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 **\uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(m\/m)** \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI 0.29%, **\uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(core)** 0.39%\ub2e4. **\uadfc\uc6d0 CPI**\ub294 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub354 \uc798 \ubcf4\ub824\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7148 \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 0.7118 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, **\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120**\uc740 0.7100\uacfc 0.6932, **\uc800\ud56d\uc120**\uc740 0.7148 \ub2e4\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 0.7200\uacfc 0.7250\uc774\ub2e4. \n– **\uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(m\/m)**: \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc728. \n– **\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\/\uc800\ud56d\uc120**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uad6c\uac04(\uc544\ub798\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uc704\uac00 \uc800\ud56d). \n\n

Risk And Trade Setup<\/h3>\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc77c\uac04 **RSI**\uac00 **\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218** \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0, \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc555\ubc15\ud574 \ud1a4\ub2f9 \uc57d 135\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. **RSI**\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc774\uba70, **\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218**\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. **\uc870\uc815(\ud480\ubc31)** \uc774 \uc628\ub2e4\uba74 0.7100 \ub610\ub294 0.7050 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c **\ud604\uae08\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4(cash-secured put)** \ub610\ub294 **\ubd88 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull put spread)** \ub97c \uc4f0\uba74, \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)** \uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \n– **\ucca0\uad11\uc11d**: \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\ucd9c \ud488\ubaa9 \uc911 \ud558\ub098. \n– **\uc870\uc815(\ud480\ubc31)**: \uc0c1\uc2b9\/\ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138 \uc911\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784. \n– **\uc635\uc158**: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac(\uacc4\uc57d). \n– **\ud48b(put)**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc635\uc158(\ub300\uac1c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad8c\ub9ac). \n– **\ud604\uae08\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4**: \uc8fc\uc2dd\/\ud658 \ub4f1\uc744 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud48b\uc744 \ud314\uace0, \uadf8\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ud604\uae08\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ud655\ubcf4\ud574 \ub450\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd. \n– **\ubd88 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc**: \ud48b\uc744 \ud55c \uac1c \ud314\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc744 \ud55c \uac1c \uc0ac\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5. \n– **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4**: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uac70\ub098 \uc0b4 \ub54c \uc8fc\uace0\ubc1b\ub294 \ub3c8.\n\n\ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc624\ub298 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub85c, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc838 AUD\/USD\uac00 0.7150 \uc120\uc744 \ub6ab\ub294 \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uba74) \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub098\uc640 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uc744 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD, \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c\ub370 \ub354 \uac08\uae4c? RBA \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc6b0\uc704\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\uc138\u00b7RSI \uacfc\uc5f4\uc774 \ubcc0\uc218. \ubbf8 CPI\uac00 \ub3cc\ud30c(0.7150) vs \uc870\uc815 \ud6c4 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c \uc88c\uc6b0. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38194\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}