{"id":38136,"date":"2026-02-12T14:58:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T14:58:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%96%80-%ed%9d%90%eb%a3%ac%ec%9d%80-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T14:58:04","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T14:58:04","slug":"%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%96%80-%ed%9d%90%eb%a3%ac%ec%9d%80-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%96%80-%ed%9d%90%eb%a3%ac%ec%9d%80-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784\uc758 \uc580 \ud750\ub8ec\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c \uc81c\ub124\ub784(Societe Generale)\uc740 1\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \ub4a4, 2026\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubcc0\uacbd\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac15\uc138\uc640, \ub2e4\ub978 \uace0\ube48\ub3c4(\uc790\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294) \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\u00b7\uc904\uc5ec\uc11c \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\u2019)\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uacb0\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uace0 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c \uc81c\ub124\ub784\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed funds rate, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9)\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ud654<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae08\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30)\uac00 1\ubc88\ub9cc \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 6\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc720\ub825\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc62c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc704\ud5d8(\uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n1\uc6d4\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0dd\uac01\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 35\ub9cc \uac1c\ub97c \ub118\uac8c \ub298\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4, \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0) 18\ub9cc \uac1c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacfc\uc5f4(\uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud574 \uc27d\uac8c \uc2dd\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uace0\ube48\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ud568\uaed8, \uae30\ub300\ub410\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2a6\ucd94\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2025\ub144\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ubc18\uc601(\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ud3ec\ud568)\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654) \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.4%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(\uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2%\ub300)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub192\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4) \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc774\uc57c\uae30\ub294 \u201c\uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5b8\uc81c \uc624\ub098\u201d\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30(\ub144\uc758 \ub4a4\ucabd) \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uae34 \ud55c\uac00\u201d\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc7ac\ubc18\uc601(\uac00\uaca9 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815) \uc608\uc0c1<\/h3>\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7ac\ubc18\uc601(\uc0c8 \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4\u00b75\uc6d4 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, 6\uc6d4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uc778 SOFR\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc120\ubb3c)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc870\uae30 \uc644\ud654(\ube68\ub9ac \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ud22c\uc790 \ubc29\ud5a5)\uc744 \uc815\ub9ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc838 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\u2019)\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \ub0a0\uc9dc\uc640 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \ub3d9\uacb0(\uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0)\ub418\uac70\ub098, \uc2ec\uc9c0\uc5b4 \uae5c\uc9dd \uc778\uc0c1(\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc62c\ub9ac\uae30)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ube44\uc6a9\ub3c4 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uae38 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\u2019(short-volatility, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\uc740 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc704\ud5d8\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc8fc\uac00\ub098 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc(\ubbf8\ub798 \uc131\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud070 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4) \uc139\ud130\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4. \u201c\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\u201d\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uae30\uc5c5 \uac00\uce58\ud3c9\uac00(\ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\uba74\uc11c, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100 \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \u2018\ub354 \ube68\ub9ac\u2019\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \u2018\ub354 \ub2a6\uac8c\u2019 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud558\uace0, Fed\ub294 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ub2e8 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc218\uc815, \uc9c0\uc5f0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uacbd\uace0. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38136"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38136\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}