{"id":38129,"date":"2026-02-12T12:58:29","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T12:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-2025%eb%85%84-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ec%98%88%eb%b9%84-gdp%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-1-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ed%95%b4-0-2-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T12:58:29","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T12:58:29","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-2025%eb%85%84-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ec%98%88%eb%b9%84-gdp%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-1-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ed%95%b4-0-2-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-2025%eb%85%84-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ec%98%88%eb%b9%84-gdp%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-1-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ed%95%b4-0-2-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc608\ube44 GDP\ub294 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.1% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 0.2% \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc73c\uba70, 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uacfc \ub3d9\uc77c\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d\uc758 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30(\uc608\ube44\uce58) GDP\ub294 \uc804 \ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44(QoQ, **quarter-on-quarter: \uc804 \ubd84\uae30\uc640 \ube44\uad50**) 0.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 3\ubd84\uae30\uc640 \uac19\uc558\uace0, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 0.2%\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uac04 \uae30\uc900(YoY, **year-on-year: \uc804\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uacfc \ube44\uad50**) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 1.0%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 1.2%\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\ucce4\uc73c\uba70, 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc218\uce58\ub294 1.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.2%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc218\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc6d4\uac04 GDP\ub294 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 0.1%\uc600\uace0, 11\uc6d4 0.2%\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4(11\uc6d4\uc740 0.3%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc218\uc815). 12\uc6d4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0(**Industrial Production: \uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\uad11\uc0b0\u00b7\uc804\uae30\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \ub4f1 \u2018\uc0b0\uc5c5\u2019 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0**)\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.9% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uace0, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0(**Manufacturing Production: \uacf5\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc81c\ud488 \uc0dd\uc0b0**)\uc740 0.5% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub458 \ub2e4 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \ubc1c\ud45c \uc2dc\uac01<\/h3>\n\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 GBP\/USD\ub294 1.3615\uc5d0\uc11c 0.03% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. GDP \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 GMT 7:00\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc740 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 YoY 1.2%, QoQ 0.2% \uc131\uc7a5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE, **Bank of England: \uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**)\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 0.9%, \uc5f0\uac04 \uc57d 1.5% \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uc6d4 19\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp(**basis point, \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p**) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 CPI(**Consumer Price Index: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900**)\ub294 YoY 3.4%, \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(**core CPI: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00**)\ub294 YoY 3.2%, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 4.5%\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc0dd\uac01\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube68\ub9ac \ud798\uc774 \ube60\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 0.1%(\uc608\uc0c1 0.2% \ud558\ud68c)\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0b0\uc5c5\u00b7\uc81c\uc870 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud574 2026\ub144 \ucd08 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc774\uc720\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6c1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n

BoE \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub294 \u2018\uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u2019(**stagflation: \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ub454\ud55c\ub370 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc**)\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2023\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uc57d\ud55c\ub370 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub192\uc544, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae08\ub3c4 12\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3.4%\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uc744\uc9c0 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ub9c9\uc744\uc9c0 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(**derivatives: \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d. \uc608: \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c**) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc57d\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \uc798 \uc548 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00(**sticky inflation: \uc27d\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00**)\uc758 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(**volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4**) \ud655\ub300 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 19\uc77c \uc815\ucc45 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uad00\ub828 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. GBP\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(**straddle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218**) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(**strangle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218**)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574, \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uc0dd\uac01\ud574\ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc57d\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc(GBP, **Pound Sterling: \uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654**)\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd \uad00\uc810\uc774 \ub354 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uac10\uc18c\ub294 2023\ub144 \ub9d0 \uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc601\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(**Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index: \uae30\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4 \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8 \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c. 50 \uc544\ub798\uba74 \uc704\ucd95**)\uac00 46.2\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 \ud070 \uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. GBP\/USD \ud48b \uc635\uc158(**put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \u2018\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\u2019**)\uc744 1.3508 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(**support level: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub2e4 \uba48\ucd94\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04**) \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \uc0ac\uac70\ub098, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc120\ubb3c(**futures: \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d**) \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ub610\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc640\uc758 \ube44\uad50 \ub9e4\ub9e4(**relative value trade: \ub450 \uc790\uc0b0\/\ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \u2018\uc0c1\ub300\uc801\u2019 \uac15\uc57d\uc744 \ubcf4\uace0 \uac70\ub798**)\ub3c4 \ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7fd\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, **Federal Reserve: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uae09\ud558\uac8c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ub354 \uc801\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300 \ucc28\uc774(**divergence: \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83**)\uac00 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 GBP\/USD \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4: Q4 GDP 0.1%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd \ud558\ud68c, \uc5f0\uac04 1.0%\ub3c4 \uae30\ub300 \ubbf8\ub2ec. 12\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc81c\uc870 \uae09\uac10\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138, 3\uc6d4 BoE \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38129","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38129"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38129\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}