{"id":38092,"date":"2026-02-12T04:58:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T04:58:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9b%83%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%98%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-2025%eb%85%84-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0%ec%9d%98\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T04:58:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T04:58:08","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9b%83%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%98%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-2025%eb%85%84-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0%ec%9d%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9b%83%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%98%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-2025%eb%85%84-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0%ec%9d%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc 2025\ub144 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 AUD\/USD, 2022\ub144 8\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 \uae30\ub85d"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 2022\ub144 8\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Non-Farm Payrolls, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub41c \ub4a4 \ub098\uc654\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e4\uc81c 13\ub9cc \uba85\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 7\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\ub294 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc218\uc815\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218\uac00 89\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uba85 \ub354 \uc801\uac8c \uc7a1\ud788\ub3c4\ub85d \uc218\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \uc6d4\ud3c9\uade0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ub3c4 4\ub9cc9\ucc9c \uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 1\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Rba Policy Shift And Inflation Focus<\/h3>\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA)\uc774 2\uc6d4 3\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc124\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%p) \uc62c\ub824 3.85%\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uac04 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(Consumer Inflation Expectations, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc624\ub97c\uc9c0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uce58)\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \uc804\uccb4(\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778) \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(\uc791\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 2.5%(\uae30\uc874 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d), \uadfc\uc6d0(core, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \uc218\uce58) \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(\uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 0.3%\ub2e4.\n\nAUD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 0.77% \uc624\ub978 0.7130 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc740 0.7143\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. 50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub454 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) 0.6810\uacfc 200\uc77c EMA 0.6616 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 12\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc740 0.6466\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(pair, \ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud658\uc728)\uc740 \uc57d 0.6700\uc5d0\uc11c 600pips(\ud54d, \ud658\uc728\uc758 \uc544\uc8fc \uc791\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub2e8\uc704) \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1(Stochastic, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub85c \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubcf4\uc870\uc9c0\ud45c) (14, 5, 5)\ub294 86.24\/79.19\uc774\uba70, \uc800\ud56d(resistance, \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 0.7143\uacfc 0.7200, \uc9c0\uc9c0(support, \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\ub294 0.7000\uacfc 0.6930\u20130.7000\uc774\ub2e4.\n\nAUD\/USD\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc624\ub978 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) RBA\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub9c8\uc8fc\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. RBA\uac00 2\uc6d4 3\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.85%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9b0 \uac83\uc740 2023\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c, \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\uac00 2022\ub144 8\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58! \uc57d\ud55c \ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 RBA \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc US CPI \uc55e \uacfc\uc5f4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5(\ucf5c\u00b7\ubd88\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\ud48b\ub9e4\ub3c4) \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38092","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38092"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38092\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}