{"id":38060,"date":"2026-02-11T20:58:29","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T20:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy%eb%8a%94-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%eb%b3%b4%eb%8b%a4-%ec%a2%8b%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T20:58:29","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T20:58:29","slug":"usd-jpy%eb%8a%94-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%eb%b3%b4%eb%8b%a4-%ec%a2%8b%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/usd-jpy%eb%8a%94-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%eb%b3%b4%eb%8b%a4-%ec%a2%8b%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc120\uac70 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc88b\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba70 \uc57d 153.30\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 153.30 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \uc774\ub0a0 \uae30\uc900 0.70% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\uace0\uc6a9 \uad00\ub828 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud1b5\uacc4) \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc7a0\uae50 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\uac00, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654(JPY, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub3c8)\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Nonfarm Payrolls: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \ube80 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc218)\uc740 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 13\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 7\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 4\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc218\uc815(\uc774\uc804 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \ub098\uc911\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uace0\uce5c \uac83)\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.3%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uace0, \ub178\ub3d9\ucc38\uc5ec\uc728(\uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud55c \ube44\uc728)\uc740 62.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08(\ud3c9\uade0 \uc2dc\uae09)\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.4% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 3.7%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub294\ub370(\uc608\uc0c1 3.6%), \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(y\/y)\ub294 1\ub144 \uc804\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uc218\uce58, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(m\/m)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub97c \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uc6d4\uacfc 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub450\ub294 \u201c\ub3d9\uacb0(\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8, pause)\u201d\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc218\uc815\uce58\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc3e0\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc218\uc900\uc774 89\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uba85 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ub410\uace0, 2025\ub144 \uc804\uccb4 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 58\ub9cc4\ucc9c \uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 18\ub9cc1\ucc9c \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc218\uc815\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub3c8)\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud798\uc744 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uc0ac\ub098\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uac00 \uc77c\uc694\uc77c \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud55c \ub4a4 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uace0, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ: \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ucc9c\ucc9c\ud788 \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd94\uce21(\uae34\ucd95: \ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9ac\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uc815\ucc45)\uc774 \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uc5b4\uc81c \uc544\uce68 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub85c \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00(core inflation: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 3.0%\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed fund futures: \ubbf8\ub798 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uc740 7\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc57d\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc5d4\ud654 \ucabd\uc740 \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc758 \uc555\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc0c8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc0c1\uc774 \u201c\uc815\ucc45 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654(normalize policy: \ube44\uc815\uc0c1\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc644\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\u201d\ub97c \uc6d0\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ucde8\uc9c0\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc774 4\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uae08\ub9ac(\ub3c8\uc744 \ub9e1\uae30\uba74 \uc774\uc790\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac8c \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac) \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc870\uae30\uc5d0 \ub05d\ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5d4\ud654 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud55c \uac70\ub798)\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\uc640 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, USD\/JPY\uac00 \ub354 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 150.00 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uac00\uaca9\ub300(\ub9ce\uc740 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \ub465\uadfc \uc22b\uc790 \uad6c\uac04)\ub85c \uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ub098\uc635\ub2c8\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4\uacfc 4\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ud48b \uc635\uc158(put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud568)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4(defined-risk: \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4\uc9c0\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)\uc774 12.5%\ub85c \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 153.30\uc73c\ub85c 0.7% \ud558\ub77d: \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uac15\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 2025 \uace0\uc6a9\uce58 89.8\ub9cc \ud558\ud5a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138. \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ub85c \uc5d4 \uac15\uc138, 150 \ubaa9\ud45c\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc720\ub9ac. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38060","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38060"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38060\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38060"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38060"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}