{"id":37970,"date":"2026-02-10T23:57:55","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T23:57:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a0%95%ec%a0%95-%ea%b3%b5%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-adp-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%80%ed%99%94%ec%9d%98-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9d%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T23:57:55","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T23:57:55","slug":"%ec%a0%95%ec%a0%95-%ea%b3%b5%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-adp-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%80%ed%99%94%ec%9d%98-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9d%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a0%95%ec%a0%95-%ea%b3%b5%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-adp-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b3%80%ed%99%94%ec%9d%98-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9d%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc815\uc815 \uacf5\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654\uc758 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 \uc774\uc804 5\ucc9c \uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 6\ucc9c5\ubc31 \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d **ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcc0\ud654(Employment Change)**\uc758 **4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0**\uc740 1\uc6d4 24\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 **6.5K(6,500\uba85)**\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, 1\uc8fc \uc804 **5K(5,000\uba85)**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9**\uc774\uba70, **1\uc6d4 3\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58**\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d **\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(US Dollar Index, DXY: \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)**\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c **96.85** \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c\ub9cc \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70** \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Adp Weekly Estimate Overview<\/h3>\n**ADP \uc8fc\uac04 \ucd94\uc815\uce58(weekly estimate: \ub9e4\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)**\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d **\ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9(private employment: \uc815\ubd80 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uae30\uc5c5\u00b7\ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9)**\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c **4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(moving average: \ucd5c\uadfc 4\uc8fc \uac12\uc744 \ud3c9\uade0 \ub0b4 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95)**\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 **\uace0\ube48\ub3c4 \uc784\uae08\u00b7\uae09\uc5ec \ub370\uc774\ud130(high-frequency payroll data: \uc9e7\uc740 \uac04\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc9d1\uacc4\ub418\ub294 \uae09\uc5ec \uc790\ub8cc)**\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574 **\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(labour market: \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uc640 \uad6c\uc9c1\uc774 \ub9cc\ub098\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)**\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ucd94\uc801\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uc73c\uba74 \ubcf4\ud1b5 **\uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c(consumer spending: \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uc4f0\ub294 \ub3c8)**\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uace0 **\uacbd\uc81c\uc131\uc7a5(economic growth: \uacbd\uc81c \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83)**\uc774 \ube60\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub418\uba70, \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 **\ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80 \ud1b5\uacc4 \uae30\uad00)**\uc758 **\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Nonfarm Payrolls, NFP: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\/\uac10\uc18c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uace0\uc6a9 \ud1b5\uacc4)** \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\uc5d0 \ucc38\uace0\ud558\ub294 **\uc120\ud589 \uc9c0\ud45c(early guide: \uba3c\uc800 \ub098\uc624\ub294 \ucc38\uace0 \uc790\ub8cc)**\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc4f0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub9ac\ub2c8\uce58 \ud45c\uc900\uc2dc(GMT) 2\uc6d4 10\uc77c 16:34\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628 \uc815\uc815 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc740 \uc804\uc8fc \ub300\ube44 **\ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c** 5K\uc5d0\uc11c 6.5K\ub85c **\uc0c1\uc2b9**\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Volatility Focus For Nfp And Cpi<\/h3>\n2025\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub354 \uc791\uc740 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 **6.5K\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9**\ud558\uba70 **3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc99d\uac00**\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 **\uc870\uae08\uc529** \ub098\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 **\ucd08\uae30 \uc2e0\ud638(early indicator: \ud655\uc815 \uc804 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc758 \ube60\ub978 \ub2e8\uc11c)**\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\uace0, DXY\ub294 **96.85** \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c **\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704)** \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc791\uc740 ADP \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0, \ub354 \ub113\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ub2e4\ub8e8\ub294 **NFP \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c**\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ud558\uae30\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 **\ucd08\uae30 \uc790\ub8cc\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294** \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc624\ub798 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 NFP \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c, **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)** \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)**\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ADP \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uba74 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc790\ub8cc\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uace0, \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce60 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub9cc \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\uc635\uc158(options: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574\ub450\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)**\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub354 \ub9de\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **USD\/JPY** \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c **\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)**\uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uacfc **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, NFP \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \ub9de\ud790 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub4a4\uc5d0 \ub098\uc624\ub294 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Consumer Price Index, CPI: \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubd10\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\ub3c4 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacb0\uad6d **\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 **\ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, inflation: \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9)**\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc77c\uc815 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 **\uba87 \uc8fc\uac04** \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud754\ub4e0\ub2e4: ADP 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 6.5K\ub85c 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9. 2026\ub144 ADP 19.5\ub9cc\uba85 \uae09\uc99d\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc57d\ud654, DXY 104.50. NFP\u00b7CPI \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5(\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4) \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud754\ub4e0\ub2e4: ADP 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 6.5K\ub85c 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9. 2026\ub144 ADP 19.5\ub9cc\uba85 \uae09\uc99d\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc57d\ud654, DXY 104.50. 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