{"id":37941,"date":"2026-02-10T16:57:33","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T16:57:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b9%84%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98eci%ea%b0%80-0-7-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%b4-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-%ec%98%88\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T16:57:33","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T16:57:33","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b9%84%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98eci%ea%b0%80-0-7-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%b4-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-%ec%98%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%b9%84%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98eci%ea%b0%80-0-7-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%b4-%ec%9e%84%ea%b8%88-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-%ec%98%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d 4\ubd84\uae30 \uace0\uc6a9\ube44\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218(ECI)\uac00 0.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 0.8%\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d **\uace0\uc6a9\ube44\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218(ECI, Employment Cost Index: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc9c1\uc6d0\uc5d0\uac8c \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\ub294 \uc784\uae08\uacfc \ubcf5\ub9ac\ud6c4\uc0dd \ube44\uc6a9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654)** \ub294 4\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 **0.7%** \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 **\uc608\uc0c1\uce58(\uc804\ubb38\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd)** \ub294 **0.8%** \uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 **0.1%p(\ud37c\uc13c\ud2b8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: % \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)** \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uae30 **\uace0\uc6a9 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4** \uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub290\ub838\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc57d\ud55c \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\ub978 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac<\/h3>\n4\ubd84\uae30 \uace0\uc6a9\ube44\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 **\uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub454\ud654** \ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c \uc911\uc694\ud55c **\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc2e0\ud638(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c, \uc989 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \ub2a6\ucd94\ub824\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638)** \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158: \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900 \uc0c1\uc2b9)** \ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub9ac\ub358 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud798\uc744 \uc783\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c **\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \uc5f0\uc900: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)** \uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc774\ub974\uac8c **\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(\ud53c\ubc97: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud558\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\uac70\ub098, \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc804\ud658)** \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 ECI\ub294 \ub2e8\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654)** \uc5d0\uc11c **\uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00(core inflation: \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)** \uac00 **3.1%** \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac04\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\ub3c4 \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. **CME(\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c) \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(rate futures: \ubbf8\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)** \uc740 \uc774\uc81c **2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558** \uac00 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 **70% \uc774\uc0c1** \uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**\uae08\ub9ac \uad00\ub828 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)** \uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74, \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 **\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d(\ucc44\uad8c \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d)** \uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. **SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR futures: \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c)** \uacfc **\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \ub178\ud2b8 \uc120\ubb3c(Treasury note futures: \uc911\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c)** \uc758 **\ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uc720)** \uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574, **\uae08\ub9ac \uace1\uc120(rate curve: \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4 \uae08\ub9ac \uad6c\uc870)** \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \uae30\ub300\uac00 **\ud638\uc7ac(\uc21c\ud48d, tailwind: \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub3d5\ub294 \uc694\uc778)** \ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 **\uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\u00b7\uae30\uc220\uc8fc** \uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. **\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100, S&#038;P 500** \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, **\uac15\uc138 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bullish call spread: \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc8fc\uac00\ub97c \ub20c\ub7ec\uc654\ub358 **\u201c\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub798\uac04\ub2e4(higher for longer)\u201d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c** \ub97c \ub0ae\ucda5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \ub354 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)** \uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc **13** \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 **VIX \uc9c0\uc218(VIX: S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218, \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c\ub3c4 \ubd88\ub9bc)** \ub294, \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ub354 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc885\ubaa9\uc5d0\uc11c **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub3c8)** \uc744 \ubc1b\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **\uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(short straddle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ube44\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218(ECI)\uac00 4\ubd84\uae30 0.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(0.8%)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\u2014\uc784\uae08 \ub454\ud654\ub85c Fed \uc870\uae30 \uc804\ud658 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70, \ucc44\uad8c\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ubd80\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37941","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37941"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37941\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}