{"id":37435,"date":"2026-02-04T02:32:06","date_gmt":"2026-02-04T02:32:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad\/"},"modified":"2026-02-04T02:32:06","modified_gmt":"2026-02-04T02:32:06","slug":"%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc758 25\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uc57d 0.7011\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\uc5ec \uc7a5\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uc810 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nRBA\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud604\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.85%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2025\ub144 \ub2a6\uac8c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 2-3% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n\n\uc774 \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc694\uc18c\uc5d0 \uae30\uc778\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbfc\uac04 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uc178 \ubd88\ub85d \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc218\uc9d1\ub418\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc9c0\uce68\uc740 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uacf5\uae09 \uce21\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc81c\uc57d\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nBHH \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 80%\ub77c\uace0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uba70, \uc624\ub294 1\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd1d 60 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBA\uc640 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub418\uba74\uc11c ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\n\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ubcc0\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\ub294 3.85%\ub85c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc989\uc2dc \uac15\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \uc788\ub294 \uc774 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc\uc758 \uc804\ud22c\uac00 \uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 AUD\/USD\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778\uc740 RBA\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uac04\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ubc15\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\uc911 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uae30\ucd08 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\uba70, RBA\uac00 \ub2e8\ud638\ud55c \uc790\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc800\uc810\uc778 3.9%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubd84\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub3c4 RBA\uc758 2-3% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\uac74\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc815\ub2f9\uc131\uc744 \ubd80\uc5ec\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD \ub9e4\uc218 \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud604\uba85\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc651 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 80% \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc554\uc2dc\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uc720\uc6a9\ud55c \ub3c4\uad6c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654 \uc30d\uc758 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \uad6c\ub9e4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\ub2e4. RBA\uc758 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\ub2e4. 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