{"id":37331,"date":"2026-02-03T01:32:32","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T01:32:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%95%9e%ec%84%9c-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-02-03T01:32:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T01:32:32","slug":"rba%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%95%9e%ec%84%9c-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%95%9e%ec%84%9c-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uba70 AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc57d 0.6942\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 RBA\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9bc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 70-75%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec RBA\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc778 2-3%\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc57d 4%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub41c \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 Tight labor market\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 TD-MI \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uac8c\uc774\uc9c0\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uac04 3.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c\ub370, \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\u6700\u5927\u7684 \ubb34\uc5ed \ud30c\ud2b8\ub108\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751<\/h3>\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 Kavin Warsh\uac00 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc784\uba85\ub41c \uac83\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac15\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc778\ubb3c\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI)\uac00 52.6\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uac15\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac15\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 97.63 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ub4f1 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc131\uacfc\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc624\ub298 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub192\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c RBA\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uce68\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\uc815\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubbff\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \uc644\ud654\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 AUD\/USD\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\ub0a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc870\uc808\uc774 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9d0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2025\ub144 \uc804\uccb4\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uad6c\ucd95\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c RBA\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub300\ub2e4\uc218 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 4% \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uae34\ucd95\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud574\uc8fc\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc38\uace0\ub85c, 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 3.9%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud55c\ud3b8, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ube44\uc57d\uc801\uc778 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc778\ubb3c\uc744 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc218\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc784\uba85\ud558\uace0 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 52.6\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \ub290\ub07c\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 AUD\/USD \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4 \ubc0f \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc740 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \ud655\uc815\ub41c \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub294 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778 RBA\uc758 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Alternatively, \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 straddle \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud6c4 AUD\/USD \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubcc0\ud560\uae4c\uc694? – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37331\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}