{"id":37090,"date":"2026-01-29T02:33:11","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T02:33:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%a0%9c%eb%a1%ac-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T02:33:11","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T02:33:11","slug":"%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%a0%9c%eb%a1%ac-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%a0%9c%eb%a1%ac-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uac15\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub17c\uc758\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 1\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%-3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \uc77c\uce58\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. Fed \uc758\uc7a5 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\ub098, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc218\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc6d4\uc740 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud68c\uc758\ubcc4 \uacb0\uc815\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad00\uc138\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc548\uc815\ud654\uc758 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 12\uc6d4\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 3% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\ub825 \ucc38\uc5ec \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc720\uc9c0\ub97c \ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 98%\uc774\uba70, 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 15%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub85c\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\uc758 58%\uac00 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, TD \uc99d\uad8c\uc0ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc911\ub9bd\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc608\uae30\uce58 \uc54a\uc740 \uc77c\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c \ubc1c\uc804\uc744 \uad00\ucc30\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc124\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad00\ub9ac\uc640 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uba70, \ud30c\uc6d4\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ub180\ub77c\uc6b4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 GDP\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 2.9% \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uc5ec \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uce58\ub97c \ub118\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac15\uc138\ub294 Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4, \ub9ce\uc740 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc904\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc774\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac\ub85c\uc11c\ub294 \uc57d\uc810 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 199,000\uac1c\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 3.7%\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 Fed\uac00 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uae34\uae09\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uad00\ub9dd\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ubbf8\ub8e8\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud734\uc2dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uad6c\uc870\ud654\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \ubc0f 5\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub3c8\uc774 \ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 “\ub354 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac” \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud1b5\ud654 \ubc0f \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\n\uc774 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uac8c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 DXY\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uac00\ub2a5\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c, Fed\uc758 \uacb0\ub2e8\ub825 \uc788\ub294 \uc790\uc138\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc744 \uc77c\uc73c\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. S&P 500\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud61c\ud0dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc558\uc73c\ub098, \uc774\ubc88 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub97c \uc81c\uac70\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac00\uce58 \uc788\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \uc218\uce58\ub294 3.2%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ucd08\uacfc\uac00 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\uc640 \uad00\ub828\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc790\uc2e0 \uc788\uac8c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc0f \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub300\uae30 \uae30\uac04\uc744 \uc554\uc2dc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%-3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uacbd\uc81c \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc815\ud655\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc720\ub3d9\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae34\uae09\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37090"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37090\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}