{"id":34437,"date":"2025-12-18T19:16:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T19:16:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/ecb%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%9c-%ed%9b%84-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%b4-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2025-12-18T19:16:40","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T19:16:40","slug":"ecb%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%9c-%ed%9b%84-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%b4-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/ecb%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%9c-%ed%9b%84-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%b4-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec 1.1756 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798 \uc911"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \uc77c\uce58\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \ub290\uc2a8\ud574\uc9c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uba70 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nECB\ub294 \ub124 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc5f0\uc18d \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ucd9c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 unchanged\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70, \uc608\uae08 \ud3b8\uc758\uc2dc\uc124, \uc8fc\uad00\uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc791\uc5c5 \ubc0f \ud55c\ub3c4\ub300\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc124\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uac01\uac01 2.00%, 2.15%, 2.40%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2%\uc5d0 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uba70, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\ubc18 \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130, \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9, \uc815\ucc45 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc57d\uc18d\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ECB \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2028\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \ub354\ub518 \ub0c9\uac01\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 2026\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n9\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 2025\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 1.4%, 2026\ub144\uc740 1.2%, 2027\ub144\uacfc 2028\ub144\uc740 \uac01\uac01 1.4%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd94\uce21\uc744 \ubd88\ub7ec\uc77c\uc73c\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 11\uc6d4\uc5d0 2.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 3.1%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d \ucd08\uae30 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c \uac74\uc218\ub294 224K\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c 225K\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uace0, \uc774\uc804\uc758 237K \uc218\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc57d\uac04 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc720\ub7fd \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 11\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 2.7%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uc758 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc800\ud56d \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc0c8\ud574\ub97c \ub9de\uc774\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc57d\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 1.1756 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc791\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uacac\ud574\ub294 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud589\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc45\uc815\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uac15\ud654\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 2026\ub144 \uccab \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 70%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba74\uc11c \ucd5c\uadfc CPI \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, ECB\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2025\ub144\uc5d0 2.1%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c suggesting \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uc5b4 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \ub610\ub294 2\uc6d4 \ub9cc\ub8cc\uc758 EUR\/USD \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uc5ec \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub0b4\ud3ec \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c \uc791\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uc9c4\uc785\uc810\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uba74\uc11c \uc30d\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e4\ud589 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654 \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uae30\uac04\uc744 \ubcf4\uc558\uc73c\uba70, 2018\ub144 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30 \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc774\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 2025\ub144 1.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd80\uc871\ud588\ub358 \uc720\ub85c\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc774 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ub825\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc778 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uc544\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uae09\ub4f1\uc138\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ube44\ub458\uae30 \uac19\uc740 \ud78c\ud2b8\ub97c \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\uc11c \uc911\uc694\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd80\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc6b4 CPI \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640\uc758 \ud3b8\ucc28\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uac10\uc815\uc744 \ubc18\uc804\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud574\uc81c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\r\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc774\uc790\uc728 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ub7b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ud574\ubcf4\uc138\uc694! – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34437","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34437"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34437\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34437"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34437"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34437"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}