{"id":33849,"date":"2025-12-11T02:11:21","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T02:11:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%84%b8-%eb%b2%88%ec%a7%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2025-12-11T02:11:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T02:11:21","slug":"%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%84%b8-%eb%b2%88%ec%a7%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ec%84%b8-%eb%b2%88%ec%a7%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc5f0\uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc774\ud6c4, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc77c\uc77c \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218 (DXY)\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc5f0\uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud558\ub8e8 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc815\ucc45 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 Fed\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4\uc740 Fed\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\uacbd \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1\uc740 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ub4a4\ub85c\ub294 2027\ub144\uc5d0 \ub610 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 3.0% \uc815\ub3c4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 9\ub300 3\uc73c\ub85c 0.25% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ud22c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 \ub354 \ud070 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc81c\uc548\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub450 \uba85\uc740 \uac10\ucd95\uc744 \uc6d0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 \ub9e4\ub144 8\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubaa8\uc774\uba70, \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 2%\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc644\uc804 \uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4\uc640 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uccd0 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc124\uc815\ud55c \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc740\ud589 \ub300\ucd9c \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ud234\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ucd94\uc801\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub294 Fed \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc694\uc18c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218 (DXY)\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uac83\uc744 \uad00\ucc30\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.75-4.00%\ub85c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.8%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ud3b8\ud5a5\ub41c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud604\uc7ac &#8220;\uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294&#8221; \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc57c\uae30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 VIX \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 18 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud788 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uac00\ud30c\ub978 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc5c6\uc774\ub3c4 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ud234\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\uacbd\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 88%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801\uc778 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \ucc3e\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 3.6%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uae08\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \uae30\ud68c \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08 exposure\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774 \uc644\ud654 \uc8fc\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 FOMC \ub0b4\ubd80\uc758 \uc774\uacac\ub3c4 \uc78a\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud55c \ud569\uc758\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2019\ub144\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc120\ud68c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801\uc774\uc5b4\uc57c \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc900\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud558\uace0<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/a><\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc800\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33849","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33849"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33849\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33849"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33849"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33849"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}