{"id":33845,"date":"2025-12-11T01:10:30","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T01:10:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ed%9b%84-%ea%b8%88-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-%ec%a2%81%ec%9d%80-%eb%b2%94%ec%9c%84-%eb%82%b4\/"},"modified":"2025-12-11T01:10:30","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T01:10:30","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ed%9b%84-%ea%b8%88-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-%ec%a2%81%ec%9d%80-%eb%b2%94%ec%9c%84-%eb%82%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ed%9b%84-%ea%b8%88-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-%ec%a2%81%ec%9d%80-%eb%b2%94%ec%9c%84-%eb%82%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud6c4, \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uae08\uac12\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%-3.75%\ub85c \uc778\ud558\ud558\uae30\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 Fed\uc758 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubd80\ub4dc\ub7fd\uac8c(\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc2dc\ud504\ud2b8) \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc778 \ub4a4 \uae08\uac12\uc740 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubbf8\ub798 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc77c\uce58\ud558\uba70, 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ub2e8 \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nFOMC\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud22c\ud45c\ub294 9-3\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ub258\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\ub780 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 50 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc81c\ud504\ub9ac \uc288\ubbf8\ub4dc\uc640 \uc624\uc2a4\ud0c4 \uad74\uc2a4\ube44\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd \uc694\uc57d(Summary of Economic Projections, SEP)\uc740 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc57d 3.4%\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0, 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc758 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4\uc774 Fed\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc131\uba85\uc11c\ub294 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 Fed\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29 \uc815\ucc45 \uc785\uc548\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 2028\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc911\ub9bd \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc57d 3%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\uba70, \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uacfc \uc644\uc804 \uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \ub2ec\uc131\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 \ub9e4\ub144 8\ud68c \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\uc735 \uc704\uae30 \ub54c\ub294 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc591\uc801 \uc644\ud654(Quantitative Easing)\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \uc591\uc801 \uae34\ucd95(Quantitative Tightening)\uacfc \ub300\uc870\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 3.50%-3.75%\ub85c \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e8 \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub9cc \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uae08\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ube44\uc218\uc775 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 9-3\uc758 \ub098\ub25c \ud22c\ud45c\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uace0 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uacc4\uc18d\ub41c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\uac12\uc774 $4,200\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba74\uc11c, \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 2023\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uadf8 \ub2f9\uc2dc Fed\uc758 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uae08\uc744 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc815\uc758\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc0f \uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd80\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uba74, CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud55c \ub450 \ubc88\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \uc774\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354\uc6b1 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd88\uc77c\uce58\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nFed\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 “\uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4”\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.3%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1 \ubcf4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0c9\uac01\uc744 \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf1c\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc57d\uc810\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc0f \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\uc744 \uae30\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\r\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uac12\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc600\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08 \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4! – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33845","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33845"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33845\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33845"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33845"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33845"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}