{"id":33709,"date":"2025-12-09T16:09:58","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T16:09:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-%ec%8c%8d-rba%ec%9d%98-%ea%b0%95%eb%a0%a5%ed%95%9c-%ed%83%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98%ec%9e%85%ec%96%b4-%ec%95%bd-0-6640%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2025-12-09T16:09:58","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T16:09:58","slug":"aud-usd-%ec%8c%8d-rba%ec%9d%98-%ea%b0%95%eb%a0%a5%ed%95%9c-%ed%83%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98%ec%9e%85%ec%96%b4-%ec%95%bd-0-6640%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/aud-usd-%ec%8c%8d-rba%ec%9d%98-%ea%b0%95%eb%a0%a5%ed%95%9c-%ed%83%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98%ec%9e%85%ec%96%b4-%ec%95%bd-0-6640%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD \uc30d, RBA\uc758 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc57d 0.6640\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA)\uc758 \ud655\uace0\ud55c \uc811\uadfc \ub355\ubd84\uc5d0 \uc57d 0.6640\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBA\uc640 Fed\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub354\uc6b1 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nAUD\/USD \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.20% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70, RBA \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubbf8\uc178 \ubd88\ub85d(Michele Bullock)\uc758 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc5bb\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd88\ub85d\uc740 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ud544\uc694 \uc5c6\uc73c\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uace0\ub824\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud788\uba74\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc904\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc555\ubc15<\/h3>\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \ubc0f \ub178\ub3d9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c, Fed\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\uc5ec \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nCME FedWatch\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(\u91d1\u5229 \ub2e8\uc704) \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 90%\ub85c, \uc774\ub294 USD \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 RBA\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\uace0 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc5b4 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBA\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 0.6640 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 100\uae30\uac04 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.6650, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.6609\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud655\uace0\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1 \uac04\uc758 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uac04\uadf9\uc740 AUD\/USD\uc758 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 0.6640 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uad00\ucc30 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\uc138<\/h3>\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubbff\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ubd84\uae30 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 RBA\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc57d 3.6%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uadf8\ub4e4\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc120\ud638) \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uac83\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub300\uc870\ub97c \uc774\ub8f9\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub428\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ub9d0\ubd80\ud130 \ubbf8\uad6d GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 1.8%\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uace0, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub4e4\uc740 \uc77c\uad00\ub418\uac8c \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub0b4\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc45\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c 90%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294, \ucd94\uac00 AUD\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 0.6650 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc124\uc815\ud55c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\uac00 0.6700 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc8fc\uc694 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc815\uc758\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc124\uc815\uc740 2009-2010\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \ubcf4\uc558\ub358 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ub2f9\uc2dc RBA\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc81c\ub85c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc5ec AUD\/USD\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ucd09\uc9c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc544\uc774\ub514\uc5b4\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc5ed\ud559\ub3c4 \ube44\ub85d \ub35c \uadf9\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc591\uc0c1\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ub0b4\uc77c\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc758 \ud638\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uba74, \uc774\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 0.6609 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc544\ub798\ub85c_break\ud558\uc600\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/a><\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 0.6640\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33709"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33709\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}