{"id":33637,"date":"2025-12-08T23:08:57","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T23:08:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%a0%84%ec%97%90-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91%ed%95%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-%ea%b8%88-%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2025-12-08T23:08:57","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T23:08:57","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%a0%84%ec%97%90-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91%ed%95%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-%ea%b8%88-%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%a0%84%ec%97%90-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91%ed%95%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-%ea%b8%88-%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uae08\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc57d $4,200 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0, \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\uac00 $4,190 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ub09c \ucd5c\uace0\uc810\uc740 $4,219\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29 \uae30\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%-3.75%\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc PCE \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \ud63c\ud569\ub41c \ub178\ub3d9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc5ec, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544-\uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uac08\ub4f1\uacfc \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5 \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc6b0\ub824\ub3c4 \uae08\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc218\uc775\ub960<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc57d\uac04 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc5ec 99.10 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 4.186% \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. PCE \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc815\uccb4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\uba70, 9\uc6d4\uc758 Core PCE\ub294 \uc6d4 0.2% \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \ub9cc\uc871\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub178\ub3d9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 32,000\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uace0, \ucd08\uae30 \uc2e4\uc5c5 \uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\ub294 191K\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nCME FedWatch Tool\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 25bps \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 87%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08 ETF\ub294 52\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uacbd\ud5d8\ud558\uba70 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 5,300\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788_range_\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub9e4\uc218\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 $4,200-$4,180 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 50\uc8fc \ub2e8\uc21c \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0(SMA)\uc5d0\uc11c $4,201\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 100\uc8fc SMA\ub294 $4,143\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. $4,250 \uc800\ud56d \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc548\uc804 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub2a5\ud558\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc77c \ub54c \uc885\uc885 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uc8fc\uc694 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 2022\ub144\uc5d0 1,136\ud1a4\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uc900\ube44\uae08\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc0f \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uc640 \ubc18\ube44\ub840 \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc704\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd84\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\ud604\uc7ac \uae08\uc740 $4,200 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uae34\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \uac07\ud600 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 87% \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144 \ucd94\uac00 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud0dc\ub3c4\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. PCE \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uccb4\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc785\uc548\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \uc774 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uae30\uac04\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud310\ub9e4\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud3c9\uade0 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc9c0\uc218(ADX)\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 12.7\ub85c \uc57d\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ubbc0\ub85c, $4,180-$4,250 \ubc94\uc704 \ubc16\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00\uc744 \ud310\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc758 \ucd09\ub9e4\uc81c\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc911\ub2e8\uc744 \uc54c\ub9b4 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ub2e4\uc2dc 100\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\uace0 10\ub144\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810\uc778 4.186%\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 $4,180 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ucc3e\uc744 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc774\ub098 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12\uc774 $4,200 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08 \ubc0f \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4! &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33637","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33637"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33637\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33637"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33637"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33637"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}