{"id":33615,"date":"2025-12-08T17:09:57","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T17:09:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90%ec%9d%b4-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-usd-jpy%ea%b0%80-155-45%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2025-12-08T17:09:57","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T17:09:57","slug":"%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90%ec%9d%b4-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-usd-jpy%ea%b0%80-155-45%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90%ec%9d%b4-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-usd-jpy%ea%b0%80-155-45%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c USD\/JPY\uac00 155.45\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY \ud658\uc728\uc774 155.45\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(Bank of Japan)\uc774 12\uc6d4 19\uc77c\uc5d0 25bp(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 0.25% \uc778\uc0c1)\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc790\uadf9\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc784\uae08 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. BBH FX \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uc815 \uac00\uce58(fair value)\ub294 140\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 10\uc6d4 \ud604\uae08 \uc218\uc785\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08 \uc218\uc785\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.6% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 9\uc6d4\uc758 2.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc815\uaddc\uc9c1 \uadfc\ub85c\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \uacc4\ud68d\ub41c \uc784\uae08 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.2%\ub85c, 9\uc6d4\uc758 2.3%\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud558\uc5ec \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc784\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131<\/h3>\n\uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc784\uae08 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 0.7%\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \uc131\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc784\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. UA \uc820\uc13c \ub178\uc870\ub294 2025\ub144\uc5d0 4.75% \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ud569\uc758\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc815\uaddc \uc9c1\uc6d0\uc5d0\uac8c 6%\uc758 \uc784\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n12\uc6d4 19\uc77c\uc5d0 0.75%\ub85c\uc758 25bp BOJ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 90%\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub354 \uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc790\uadf9 \ud328\ud0a4\uc9c0\uac00 \uacb0\ud569\ub418\uba74 \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. USD\/JPY\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 2\ub144\ubb3c \ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc9c8 \ub54c 140\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 12\uc6d4 8\uc77c \ud604\uc7ac, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 12\uc6d4 19\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\uac8c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 USD\/JPY\uac00 155.50\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd \uc9c0\uce68\uc774 \ucc28\uae30 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uace0\ub824 \uc0ac\ud56d\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 90% \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, BOJ\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2023\ub144 7\uc6d4 BOJ \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uc2dc USD\/JPY\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 25% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uc558\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc608\uc0c1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc120\ub840\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 19\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 ATM \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \uad00\uacc4\uc5c6\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>USD\/JPY \uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n140.00 \uacf5\uc815 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ud5a5\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub824\uba74, 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 JPY \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \ud604\ubb3c \ud658\uc728\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc77c\ubcf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc554\uc2dc\ub41c \uc218\uc900 \uac04\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uacb0\uad6d \ucd95\uc18c\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 3.8%\ub85c 50bp \uc774\uc0c1 \uc881\ud600\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc30d\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc778 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c, &#8220;\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \ucc2c\uc131&#8221;\uc774 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 USD\/JPY\uac00 156.12 \uc800\ud56d \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \ucd1d\uc694\uc18c\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131(tfp) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 2022\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2024\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uac04 0.8%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \ub370 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\uc0c1 \uc555\ubc15\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc800\ud56d \uc694\uc18c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc874 USD\/JPY \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0, 12\uc6d4 19\uc77c \ud68c\uc758 \uc804 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9d5\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. UA \uc820\uc13c \ub178\ub3d9\uc870\ud569\uc758 6% \uc784\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc694\uad6c \uacc4\ud68d\uc740 2024\ub144 \uc28c\ud1a0 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ubcf4\ud55c 5.28%\ub77c\ub294 \ub2e4\ub144\uac04 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc778\uc0c1\ub960\uc758 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud48b \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \ubcf4\ud638 \uae30\ub2a5\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba74\uc11c USD\/JPY \ud658\uc728\uc774 155.45\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 140\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33615\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}