{"id":33436,"date":"2025-12-05T04:10:16","date_gmt":"2025-12-05T04:10:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%b5%9c%ea%b7%bc-%ec%97%ac%eb%a1%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%80-2026%eb%85%84%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-3-60\/"},"modified":"2025-12-05T04:10:16","modified_gmt":"2025-12-05T04:10:16","slug":"%ec%b5%9c%ea%b7%bc-%ec%97%ac%eb%a1%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%80-2026%eb%85%84%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-3-60","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%b5%9c%ea%b7%bc-%ec%97%ac%eb%a1%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%80-2026%eb%85%84%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-3-60\/","title":{"rendered":"\ucd5c\uadfc \uc5ec\ub860\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 3.60%\uc758 \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc778 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA)\uc740 \ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud604\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.60%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \uc751\ub2f5\ud55c 38\uba85\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790 \ubaa8\ub450\uac00 12\uc6d4 9\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uac00 \ub05d\ub0a0 \ub54c RBA\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc870\uc0ac\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uce58\uc6b0\uccd0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 11\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc751\ub2f5\uc790\uc758 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 2024\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 3\ubd84\uc758 1 \uc774\ud558\uac00 \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uace0 \uc751\ub2f5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4 \uc911 33\uba85 \uc911 19\uba85\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.60%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0, 10\uba85\uc740 \uc801\uc5b4\ub3c4 \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, 4\uba85\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>RBA \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \ub3c4\uad6c<\/h3>\nRBA\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc2dc\ud589\ud558\uc5ec \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uace0 \uacbd\uc81c \uc548\uc815\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc591\uc801 \uc644\ud654(Quanitative Easing, QE)\uc640 \uae34\ucd95(Quantitative Tightening, QT)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. GDP\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uac74\uac15 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 AUD \uac00\uce58\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc591\uc801 \uc644\ud654\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ucf1c \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \uae34\ucd95\uc740 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc635\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD \ud398\uc5b4\ub294 0.01% \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uc5ec 0.6615\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nRBA\uac00 \ud604\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.60%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac15\ud55c \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc800\uc870\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c \ub2ec\uc5d0 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uac83\uacfc\ub294 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 9\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c RBA \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \uc774\uc81c \uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub85c \ub110\ub9ac \uc778\uc2dd\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc815\uccb4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc6d4\ubcc4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.5%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 RBA\uc758 2-3% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 4.1%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uc554\uc2dc\ub41c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c \uac10\uc18c\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 AUD\/USD \ud398\uc5b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9e7\uc740 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(short strangle)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud310\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \ub54c, RBA\uc758 stance\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve)\uc640 \ub300\uc870\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc775\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \ucc28\uc785\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \ucc28\uc775 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc0c8\ub86d\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac AUD\/USD\uac00 0.6615 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c \ubc94\uc704 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc808\ud574 \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc5c6\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \ud070 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.60%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta 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