{"id":33148,"date":"2025-12-02T07:09:18","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T07:09:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b8%eb%af%bc%ed%8f%90-pboc-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8-%eb%b0%9c%ec%8b%a0%ec%97%90-14%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd\/"},"modified":"2025-12-02T07:09:18","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T07:09:18","slug":"%ec%9d%b8%eb%af%bc%ed%8f%90-pboc-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8-%eb%b0%9c%ec%8b%a0%ec%97%90-14%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/analysis\/%ec%9d%b8%eb%af%bc%ed%8f%90-pboc-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8-%eb%b0%9c%ec%8b%a0%ec%97%90-14%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc778\ubbfc\ud3d0, PBOC \uc2e0\uc911 \uc2e0\ud638 \ubc1c\uc2e0\uc5d0 14\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image_fx_-2025-03-28T104302.364-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19462\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\uc8fc\uc694 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud574\uc678 \uc704\uc548\ud654(USDCNH)\ub294 <strong>7.0709<\/strong>\ub85c, <strong>7.0650<\/strong>\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 14\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\uc911\uad6d\uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589(PBOC)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uace0\uc2dc\ud658\uc728\uc744 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \uc785\uc548\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\uc704\uc548\ud654\ub294 \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44 <strong>3.2%<\/strong> \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70, 2020\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub294 \uc804\ub0a0 <strong>7.0650<\/strong>\uc758 14\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ud6c4, \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <strong>\ud574\uc678 \uc704\uc548\ud654(USDCNH)<\/strong>\ub294 <strong>7.0709<\/strong> \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\uba70, \uc57d\uac04\uc758 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 <strong>\uc911\uad6d\uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589(PBOC)<\/strong>\uc774 \uc77c\uc77c \uae30\uc900\ud658\uc728\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubbf8\uc138\ud558\uace0\ub3c4 \uc758\ub3c4\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uace0\ub97c \ubc1c\uc2e0\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">China\u2019s stock and bond markets are decoupling, breaking the inverse correlation where debt traditionally rises when equities fall, as bets on monetary easing take a backseat <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6Rrn9r3NBO\">https:\/\/t.co\/6Rrn9r3NBO<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1993456730269761826?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 25, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uc2dd <strong>\uc911\uac04 \uace0\uc2dc\ud658\uc728<\/strong>\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 <strong>7.0794 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2f9<\/strong>\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/global-ambitions-behind-yuans-steady-rise-2025-11-24\/\">\ub85c\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud569\uc758<\/a>\uc778 <strong>7.0746<\/strong>\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 11\uc6d4 26\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uace0\uc2dc\ud658\uc728\uc774\uba70, 2024\ub144 9\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \uae34 \ud558\ub77d \uacbd\ud5a5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc704\uc548\ud654\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc740 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/r5AuMD6GnZ\">\uc815\ucc45 \uc785\uc548\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ube60\ub978 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubd88\ud3b8\ud568\uc744 \ub290\ub07c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294<\/a> \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc678\ud658 \uacb0\uc81c \uc8fc\uae30\uac00 \uaca9\ud654\ub420 \ub54c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\uacc4\uc808\uc801 \uc218\uc694\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\ub048\ub2e4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc218\ucd9c\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc740 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc678\ud654 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub85c \ubcc0\ud658\ud558\uc5ec \uad00\ub9ac \ubc0f \uae09\uc5ec \uc694\uad6c\ub97c \ucda9\uc871\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacc4\uc808\uc801 \uc218\uc694\uac00 2025\ub144 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BofA expects December Fed cut, two more in 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Mgq3qDK0gy\">https:\/\/t.co\/Mgq3qDK0gy<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Mgq3qDK0gy\">https:\/\/t.co\/Mgq3qDK0gy<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1995651710916730968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 2, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc704\uc548\ud654\ub294 \ub610\ud55c <strong>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \uae30\ub300<\/strong>\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \uc624\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 <strong>87%<\/strong>\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc704\uc548\ud654 \ubcc0\ud658\uc744 \uace0\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc77c\ubc29\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc9c4\uc815\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, PBOC\uc758 \ud589\ub3d9\uc740 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ube60\ub974\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 <strong>3.2%<\/strong> \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1b5\uc81c\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc774\ub3d9\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The IMF has warned of currency risks arising for nations such as Kenya and Ethiopia that are swapping dollar loans from China into yuan to tame debt costs <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NeMkql1niA\">https:\/\/t.co\/NeMkql1niA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1988191713253290017?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 11, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uae09\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uad00\ub9ac\ub41c \ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798 \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf8\ub807\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uc2dc\ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud569\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub2a6\ucd94\ub418, \uc804\uba74\uc801 \ubc18\uc804\uc744 \uc720\ub3c4\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uc124\uacc4\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\uae30\uc220 \ubd84\uc11d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDCNH\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc774 7.07 \uc218\uc900 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc28\ud2b8\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud558\uc21c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ub0ae\uc740 \uace0\uc810\uacfc \ub0ae\uc740 \uc800\uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0(5, 10, 30) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud788 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc774 \uc815\ub82c\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uce94\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774 \uc30d\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac 7.06\u20137.07\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-7-1024x448.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35756\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MACD\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e0\ud638\uc120\uc740 0 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \ud3b8\uc548\ud558\uac8c \uc704\uce58\ud558\uace0 histogram\uc740 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uad6c\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud788 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud558\ub77d \uae30\uc6b8\uae30\ub294 \ud3c9\ud3c9\ud574\uc9c0\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc5ec \ud558\ub77d\uc138\uac00 \ub290\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 7.10 \uc800\ud56d \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub118\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c, \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc9e7\uac8c \ub05d\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDCNH\uac00 7.06 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 7.03 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ubc29\uc740 \uc624\uc9c1 7.12 \ucd08\uacfc\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba74 \uc911\ub9bd\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ud558\ud5a5 \uae30\uc6b8\uae30\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\uad6d \uc704\uc548\ud654\uac00 14\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc591\uc548 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5 \ubbf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740? &#8211; 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