{"id":31712,"date":"2025-11-03T22:24:12","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T22:24:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/10%ec%9b%94%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-%eb%b6%80%eb%ac%b8%ec%9d%98-pmi%ea%b0%80-48-7%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%eb%b0%91%eb%8f%8c%eb%a9%b0-%ed%95%98\/"},"modified":"2025-11-03T22:24:12","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T22:24:12","slug":"10%ec%9b%94%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-%eb%b6%80%eb%ac%b8%ec%9d%98-pmi%ea%b0%80-48-7%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%eb%b0%91%eb%8f%8c%eb%a9%b0-%ed%95%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/10%ec%9b%94%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-%eb%b6%80%eb%ac%b8%ec%9d%98-pmi%ea%b0%80-48-7%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%eb%b0%91%eb%8f%8c%eb%a9%b0-%ed%95%98\/","title":{"rendered":"10\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 PMI\uac00 48.7\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uba70 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"10\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI)\ub294 49.1\uc5d0\uc11c 48.7\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 49.5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 45.3\uc5d0\uc11c 46\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ubb38 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 48.9\uc5d0\uc11c 49.4\ub85c \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 61.9\uc5d0\uc11c 58\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\nISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc57d\uac04\uc758 \uc77c\uc77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 0.15% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec 99.85\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc81c\uc870 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc138\ubd80 \uc0ac\ud56d\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 1\ub144 \ub118\uac8c \ubcf8 \uc785\ub825 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub978 \uac10\uc18c\uc774\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc900\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uae30\uc220 \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc758 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c(ZN)\uc774\ub098 TLT\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c ETF\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ud234\uc740 \uc9c0\uae08 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\uc758 60%\ub77c\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 40%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uc774\uc57c\uae30\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2022-2024\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc8fc\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc785\uc5c8\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uae30\uc220 \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uc5ec 2026\ub144 \ucd08 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100(QQQ)\uc758 ATM \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\ub825\uc740 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc740 \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc57d\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud310\ub9e4\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub610\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud655\uc99d\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc758\uc2ec\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 Invesco DB \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218 \uac15\uc138 \ud380\ub4dc(UUP)\uc758 \ud48b \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uace0\uc790 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud574\uc18c\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc885\uc885 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac VIX\ub294 \uc57d 17\ub85c, 2022\ub144 \uacbd\uc81c \ud63c\ub780 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 30 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc2a4\ud30c\uc774\ud06c\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud560 \ub54c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 12\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 VIX \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubbff\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\r\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uba70 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 48.7\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ubc15 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uc138\uc694! – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31712\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}