{"id":31565,"date":"2025-10-31T15:00:17","date_gmt":"2025-10-31T15:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94%ec%9d%98-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-12%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ec%a4%84%ec%96%b4%eb%93%a4%eb%a9%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad\/"},"modified":"2025-10-31T15:00:17","modified_gmt":"2025-10-31T15:00:17","slug":"%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94%ec%9d%98-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-12%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ec%a4%84%ec%96%b4%eb%93%a4%eb%a9%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94%ec%9d%98-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-12%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ec%a4%84%ec%96%b4%eb%93%a4%eb%a9%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud30c\uc6d4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4, 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba70 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ud30c\uc6d4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 66%\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804\uc758 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9d0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec\uc5d0\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc555\ubc15\uacfc \uc644\ud654\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 25bps(\uae30\ubcf8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc6d4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacac\uace0\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 10\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uc554\uc2dc \ud655\ub960\uc740 66%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ub454\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30\ub3c4 \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uc545\ud654\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc815\ubd80 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc911<\/h3> \n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2f9\uc0ac\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uacac\ud574\ucc28\ub97c \uc881\ud788\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud574 \ud574\uacb0\ucc45\uc774 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc6d0 \ud68c\uc758\ub294 11\uc6d4 3\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc790\ub85c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc2a4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589\uc7a5 \ub85c\ub9ac \ub85c\uac74, \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc7a5 \ubca0\uc4f0 \ud574\ub9c9, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub77c\ud30c\uc5d8 \ubcf4\uc2a4\ud2f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud1b5\ucc30\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub098, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uae68\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 2025\ub144 10\uc6d4 31\uc77c \uc624\ub298, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\uc2e0\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uacac\uace0\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 10\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \uae30\ubcf8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc57d 66%\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc758\uacac \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uacbd\uc81c \ud604\uc2e4 \uac04\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uad00\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubbff\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \ud070 \uc704\ud611\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d\uc758 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\uac00 98,000\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc9c0\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5f0\uc728 2.7%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5b4, \uacfc\uac70 \uba87 \ub144\uc758 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf8 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc640\ub294 \ud070 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h3>\n\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub9de\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9d0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uc99d\ub41c \uc57c\uac04 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec\uae08\ub9ac(SOFR) \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 12\uc6d4 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub192\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc740 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc758 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4 \uadfc\uc2dc\uc77c \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ud558\ub77d\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2018-2019\ub144 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc5ed\ud559\uc744 \ubcf4\uc558\uace0, \uadf8\ub54c VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 80% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 11\uc6d4 3\uc77c \uc0c1\uc6d0\uc758\uc6d0 \ud68c\uc758 \ub9c8\uac10\uc77c\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uaca9\ub82c\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ucd94\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 VIX \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0bc \uacbd\uc6b0, \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ubc18\uc804\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uc758 \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc774\ub098 EUR\/USD\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc30d\uc758 12\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ud2b9\ud788 JOLTS \ubc0f ADP \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\ub358 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298 \ub85c\uac74 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc7a5\uacfc \ud574\ub9c9 \ud68c\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ub3c4 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac70\ub798 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 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