{"id":30488,"date":"2025-10-16T17:01:13","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T17:01:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-50bp-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%b4%ec%95%bc-%ed%95%9c%eb%8b%a4%ea%b3%a0-%eb%af%bf%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c\/"},"modified":"2025-10-16T17:01:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T17:01:13","slug":"%eb%af%b8%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-50bp-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%b4%ec%95%bc-%ed%95%9c%eb%8b%a4%ea%b3%a0-%eb%af%bf%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-50bp-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%b4%ec%95%bc-%ed%95%9c%eb%8b%a4%ea%b3%a0-%eb%af%bf%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\ub780\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 50bp \uc778\ud558\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubbff\uc9c0\ub9cc, 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uc811\uadfc\ubc95\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uacfc \ucd5c\ub300 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc720\uc9c0\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \ub610\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc124\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc5f0\uac04 8\ucc28\ub840 \uc815\ucc45 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uac1c\ucd5c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc591\uc801 \uc644\ud654(QE)\ub294 \uc704\uae30 \uc2dc \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc591\uc801 \uae34\ucd95(QT)\uc740 QE\uc758 \ubc18\ub300 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c, \ucc44\uad8c \uad6c\ub9e4\ub97c \uc904\uc5ec \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uacbd\uc81c \uc870\uac74 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 98.65 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc704\uc6d0\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0b4\uba74\uc11c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc628\uac74\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc18\uc601\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc CME FedWatch \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud589\ub3d9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud558\uba70, \uc77c\ubd80 \uad00\ub9ac\ub4e4\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \ud589\ub3d9\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc815\ub2f9\uc131\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354\uc6b1 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 2025\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc870\uae30 GDP \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 1.8%\ub85c, \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacc4\uc18d \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, 9\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec PCE\uac00 2.2%\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5b4 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ubd80\ucd94\uae38 \uc5fc\ub824 \uc5c6\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \ucda9\ubd84\ud55c \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ud76c\ud1a0\ub958 \uc790\uc6d0\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \ud560\ub2f9\ub7c9\uc744 tightening \ud558\uc600\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\uace0\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc744 \ubd88\ub7ec\uc77c\uc73c\ucf30\uc73c\uba70, \ud544\ub77c\ub378\ud53c\uc544 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 4% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uacfc \ubbf8\ub798 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uacbd\ud5a5 \ubc0f \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4, \ud2b9\ud788 2019\ub144 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcfc \ub54c \uadf8\ub807\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548, \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ud6c4 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ud070 \uae30\ud3ed\uc81c\uac00 \ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uc7a5\ub41c \ud558\ub8fb\ubc24 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec \uae08\ub9ac(SOFR) \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc635\uc158\uc740 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, S&P 500\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc9c0\uc218\ub098 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc139\ud130 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc0f \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc758\ubbf8\ub97c \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc628\uac74\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c, EUR\/USD \uad6c\ub9e4 \ub610\ub294 GBP\/USD \uad6c\ub9e4\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 $4,250 \uc774\uc0c1 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 \uad00\ub828 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc548\uc804 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\uc640 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\r\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub2e4\uac00\uc628\ub2e4! \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ubb34\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5 \ubc0f \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\ucc30\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30488","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30488"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30488\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30488"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30488"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30488"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}