{"id":29739,"date":"2025-10-03T16:28:48","date_gmt":"2025-10-03T16:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-rba%ec%9d%98-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%eb%82%ae%ec%b6%94%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-aud-usd%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2025-10-03T16:28:48","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T16:28:48","slug":"%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-rba%ec%9d%98-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%eb%82%ae%ec%b6%94%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-aud-usd%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%b4-rba%ec%9d%98-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%eb%82%ae%ec%b6%94%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-aud-usd%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 RBA\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\uc801 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\uba74\uc11c AUD\/USD\uac00 \uc720\ub7fd \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 0.6605\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 0.6600\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA)\uc774 11\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 RBA\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud604\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 25\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(bps) \uc778\ud558\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc744 45%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbff\uc74c\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub3c4\uc804 \uacfc\uc81c<\/h3>\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc6b4\uc601 \uc911\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucde8\uc5c5 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 9\uc6d4\uc758 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c(Nonfarm Payrolls, NFP)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ub193\uce58\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, Fed)\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec\uc5d0 Fed\uac00 25 bps \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 12\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc774 87%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uac74\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uac74\uac15\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9\ub960\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc9c0\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub192\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uad00\uc774 \uc784\uae08 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\ud669<\/h3>\n\nAUD\/USD\ub294 0.6600\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uc900\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83 \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc30d\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc \uce21\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 RBA\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud655\uc2e0\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 3.8%\ub85c RBA\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 11\uc6d4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 45%\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc554\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud55c\ud3b8, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ucde8\uc5c5 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ubd80 \uc6b4\uc601 \uc911\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b4\uc601 \uc911\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc624\ub298 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc5c6\uac8c \ub418\uc5b4 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uac00\uc9c4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, 2025\ub144 8\uc6d4\uc758 JOLTS \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0\uac00 850\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c, 2023\ub144 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4\ub85c\ub294 \ubcf4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac15\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac70\uc758 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 95% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 87%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBA\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 Fed\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc9c4\ud589\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, AUD\/USD \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub610\ud55c RBA\uc758 \ud604\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29 \uae30\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 0.6600\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uba70, \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29739"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29739\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}