{"id":20703,"date":"2025-09-14T21:29:17","date_gmt":"2025-09-14T21:29:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%aa%a8%ea%b1%b4%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-1%ec%9b%94%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-4%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-202\/"},"modified":"2025-09-14T21:29:17","modified_gmt":"2025-09-14T21:29:17","slug":"%eb%aa%a8%ea%b1%b4%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-1%ec%9b%94%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-4%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-202","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%aa%a8%ea%b1%b4%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-1%ec%9b%94%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-4%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-202\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubaa8\uac74\uc2a4\ud0e0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 1\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 4\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud558\uace0 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 2\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 2023\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \ud68c\uc758\uc778 9\uc6d4, 10\uc6d4, 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac01\uac01 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub9cc\ud07c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0 \uc774 \uc740\ud589\uc740 9\uc6d4\uacfc 12\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub9cc \ub450 \ucc28\ub840\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud68c\uc0ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 Fed\uac00 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc548\ud558\uba70, 9\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 1\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc18d\uc73c\ub85c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uacc4\ud68d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00\ub85c, 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4\uacfc 7\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \ub354 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc5f0\ub3c4\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\ud68d\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\ub300\ud615 \uc6d4 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 SOFR\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc784\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc608\uce21\uc740 Fed\uac00 \ud589\ub3d9\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 8\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 15\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc790\uadf9\ucc45\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc774 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70 S&#038;P 500 \ubc0f \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc774\uc775\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uce58\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uccd0 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c SPY\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc815\uc758\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654 \ubc0f \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\nhistorically, Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub2e4\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \ub54c\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2019\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0\ucc98\ub7fc, \ucd08\uae30\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c \uc8fc\uae30\ub97c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc5ed\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \ucc44\uad8c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY) \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c \ub610\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\uba74 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubaa8\uac74 \uc2a4\ud0e0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 2023\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub9e4 \ud68c\uc758\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4! &#8211; 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