{"id":20687,"date":"2025-09-12T17:28:48","date_gmt":"2025-09-12T17:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/cbo-2025%eb%85%84-gdp-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85-%ea%b6%81%ea%b7%b9%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2025-09-12T17:28:48","modified_gmt":"2025-09-12T17:28:48","slug":"cbo-2025%eb%85%84-gdp-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85-%ea%b6%81%ea%b7%b9%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/cbo-2025%eb%85%84-gdp-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85-%ea%b6%81%ea%b7%b9%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"CBO, 2025\ub144 GDP \uac10\uc18c, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc2e4\uc5c5, \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1"},"content":{"rendered":"\uad6d\ud68c\uc608\uc0b0\uad6d(CBO)\uc740 2025\ub144 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 1.4%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804\uc758 1.9%\uc5d0\uc11c \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uad00\uc138\uc640 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uc774\ubbfc \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc815\ucc45 \ub355\ubd84\uc5d0 2.2%\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, 2027\ub144\uacfc 2028\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 1.8%\ub85c \uc548\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ub418\uba70, 2028\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc804\uccb4 GDP \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc57d\uac04 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 2025\ub144\uc5d0 3.1%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uad00\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uba70, 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c 2.4%\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uace0, 2027\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc778 2.0%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\uc5ec 2028\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 2025\ub144\uc5d0 4.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc790\uadf9 \uc870\uce58 \ub355\ubd84\uc5d0 4.2%\ub85c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0, 2027\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 4.4% \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2025\ub144 8\uc6d4\uc5d0 4.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.5%-3.6%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2027\ub144\uacfc 2028\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 3.3%\ub85c \uc548\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70, 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc758 4.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 2028\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 3.9%\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 8\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 3.5%\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uacbd\uc81c \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc7ac\uace0\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0 3.1%\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub79c \uc2dc\uac04 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc218\uc775 \uace1\uc120\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc8fc\uae30\uac00 \ub354\ub514\uac8c \uc2dc\uc791\ub420 \uac83\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uc5ec \uad6c\uc870\ud654\ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n1.4%\uc758 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uacfc 4.5%\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc608\uce21\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc218\uc775\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc57d\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub294 S&#038;P 500\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uc2ec\uc9c0\uc5b4 \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ucde8\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.2%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub358 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7ac\uc815 \uc790\uadf9\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uac70\ub798 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uac1c\uc6d4 \uac04\uc758 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0 \ub108\ubb34 \uc77c\ucc0d \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2025\ub144 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 1.4%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ub3c4 3.1%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub193\uce58\uc9c0 \ub9c8\uc138\uc694! &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20687"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20687\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}