{"id":19943,"date":"2025-08-28T15:28:47","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T15:28:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%b3%b4%eb%a5%98-%ec%a4%91%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-0-4-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad%eb%b3%84-%ec%b0%a8%ec%9d%b4%ec%99%80-%ea%b5%ac%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%90-%ec%a3%bc\/"},"modified":"2025-08-28T15:28:47","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T15:28:47","slug":"%eb%b3%b4%eb%a5%98-%ec%a4%91%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-0-4-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad%eb%b3%84-%ec%b0%a8%ec%9d%b4%ec%99%80-%ea%b5%ac%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%90-%ec%a3%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%b3%b4%eb%a5%98-%ec%a4%91%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-0-4-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad%eb%b3%84-%ec%b0%a8%ec%9d%b4%ec%99%80-%ea%b5%ac%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%90-%ec%a3%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubcf4\ub958 \uc911\uc778 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4, 0.4% \uac10\uc18c – \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4 \ucc28\uc774\uc640 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790 \uc8fc\uc800\ud568 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"7\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub300\uae30 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218\uac00 0.4% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \uac10\uc18c\uce58\uc778 0.1%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804 \ub2ec\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\uce58\ub294 0.8%\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub300\uae30 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 71.7\ub85c, 6\uc6d4\uc758 72.0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub0ae\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ub144 \ube44\uc728\ub85c\ub294 0.7% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4\ub85c \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc0c1\uc774\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4: \ubd81\ub3d9\ubd80\ub294 0.6% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uace0, \uc911\uc11c\ubd80\ub294 4% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc11c\ubd80\uc640 \ub0a8\ubd80\ub294 \uac01\uac01 +3.7%\uc640 -0.1%\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \uc911\uac1c\uc778 \uc2e0\ub8b0 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 NAR \ud68c\uc6d0\uc758 16%\ub294 \uad6c\uc785\uc790 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0, 21%\ub294 \ud310\ub9e4\uc790\uac00 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \ub298\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub300\uae30 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218 \uc778\uc0ac\uc774\ud2b8<\/h3>\n\n\ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub300\uae30 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218\ub294 \uc11c\uba85\ub41c \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud30c\uc0dd\ub418\uba70, \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d \ucde8\uc18c\uc728\uc774 15%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud574 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uae30\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc801\uc815\uc131\uc774 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ub9ce\uc740 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud070 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uae30\uc9c0 \uc2e0\uccad\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ub354 \uc9c4\uc9c0\ud55c \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc774\ub4e4\uc774 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub300\uae30 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc774\uc790\uc728, \uac00\uaca9 \ubc0f \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf54\ub85c\ub09819 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ubaa8\uae30\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\ub300\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uace0 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc18c\uc720\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\uc0ac\ud560 \ub3d9\uae30\uac00 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub3c4\ub85d \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub824\uace0 \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc218\uc775 \uace1\uc120\uc758 \uacbd\uc0ac\ub3c4 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub3c4\uc804 \uacfc\uc81c\uac00 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 4.23%\ub85c, 100\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\uace0, \uc774\ub294 30\ub144\uc9dc\ub9ac \ubaa8\uae30\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4\uc758 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub300\uae30 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218\uac00 0.4% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub098\uc05c \uacb0\uacfc\uc774\uace0 \uc774\uc804 \uba87 \uac1c\uc6d4\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac11\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uc778 15%\uc758 \uc11c\uba85\ub41c \uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \ucde8\uc18c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uad00\uc2ec \uc788\ub294 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790\uc870\ucc28\ub3c4 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc131\uc0ac\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4<\/h3>\n\n\uc774\uac83\uc740 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc744 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub85c \ub3cc\ub9ac\uac8c \ud558\uba70, \uadf8\ub4e4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc800\ud574\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uae30\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 4.23% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc5b4, \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 68%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc57d\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud589\ub3d9\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF(ITB)\uc758 \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c, \uadf8 \uc554\uc2dc\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 31%\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc218\uc775 \uace1\uc120\uc758 \uacbd\uc0ac\uac00 \uac00\ud314\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 2\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacac\ud574\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3cc\uc774\ucf1c\ubcf4\uba74, 2021\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0 30\ub144 \ubaa8\uae30\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3% \uc774\ud558\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub358 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uae30\uc5b5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \uc8fc\ud0dd \ubd90\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uace0\uc815\ud55c \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc18c\uc720\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5b4 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubb38\uc81c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uba87 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c\ub294 \ud310\ub9e4 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\r\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubcf4\ub958 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \uac10\uc18c\uc778 0.4% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \uc774\uc790\uc728\uacfc \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4! – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19943","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19943","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19943"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19943\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19943"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19943"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19943"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}