{"id":19835,"date":"2025-08-26T23:29:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T23:29:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%aa%a8%ea%b1%b4-%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%eb%a6%ac-9%ec%9b%94%ea%b3%bc-12%ec%9b%94-%eb%91%90-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%97%b0\/"},"modified":"2025-08-26T23:29:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T23:29:09","slug":"%eb%aa%a8%ea%b1%b4-%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%eb%a6%ac-9%ec%9b%94%ea%b3%bc-12%ec%9b%94-%eb%91%90-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%97%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%aa%a8%ea%b1%b4-%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%eb%a6%ac-9%ec%9b%94%ea%b3%bc-12%ec%9b%94-%eb%91%90-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%97%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubaa8\uac74 \uc2a4\ud0e0\ub9ac, 9\uc6d4\uacfc 12\uc6d4 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \uc218\uc815"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubaa8\uac74 \uc2a4\ud0e0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve) \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc218\uc815\ud558\uc600\uace0, 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uba70 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc \uc77c\uce58\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc740\ud589\uc740 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub9e4 \ubd84\uae30 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.25%)\uc529 \uc77c\uad00\ub41c \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc94\uc704\ub294 2.75%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.0%\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \uadf8\ub4e4\uc758 \uc774\uc804 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c, \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub294 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc608\uce21\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubbff\uc74c\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \ud655\uc0b0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud30c\uc6d4\uc758 \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \ubc1c\uc5b8<\/h3>\n\uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uac15\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc911\uc810\uc744 \ub450\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud070 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME\uc758 FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 9\uc6d4 18\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc774 85% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 40%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uae08\uc735 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub0ae\uc740 \ub300\ucd9c \ube44\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. SP500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub098 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 14 \uc774\ud558\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \uc21c\uc870\ub85c\uc6b4 \uacbd\uc81c \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba70 \uc548\ub3c4\uac10\uc744 \ub290\ub07c\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\uc57d\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uccd0\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube68\ub9ac \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc6b0\uc704\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub098 \uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294, EUR\/USD \ub610\ub294 GBP\/USD \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 7\uc6d4\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 95,000\uac1c\ub9cc \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.2%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc5f0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 3% \uc774\ud558\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub978 \uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \ub2ec\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc790\uc728\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ucc44\uad8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub985\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 TLT\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c ETF\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\uc775\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2019\ub144 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc8fc\uae30\ub97c \uc644\ud654 \uc8fc\uae30\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uba70 \ucc44\uad8c\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub358 \ub54c\uc640 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \ub290\uaef4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\r\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubaa8\uac74 \uc2a4\ud0e0\ub9ac\ub294 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uba70, 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uae30\uc870\ub85c \uc0bc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4! – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19835\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}