{"id":18869,"date":"2025-08-07T15:38:21","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T15:38:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9b%b0%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8%eb%90%98%eb%8a%94-%ed%9b%84%eb%b3%b4%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%a9%b0-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc\/"},"modified":"2025-08-07T15:38:21","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T15:38:21","slug":"%ec%9b%b0%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8%eb%90%98%eb%8a%94-%ed%9b%84%eb%b3%b4%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%a9%b0-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9b%b0%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8%eb%90%98%eb%8a%94-%ed%9b%84%eb%b3%b4%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%a9%b0-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc6f0\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud300\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc5bb\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc6d4\ub7ec(Waller)\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub85c \uc190\uaf3d\ud788\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud300\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc6d4\ub7ec\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\uba70, \uadf8\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc640 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub9cc\ub0a8 \uc5c6\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud300\uacfc \uc811\ucd09\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc31\uc545\uad00\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud589\ub3d9\uc774 \ub204\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\uc0ac\ub97c \uc784\uba85\ud588\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd84\uc5f4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc784\uba85\uacfc \ucfe0\uae00\ub7ec(Kugler)\uc758 \uad50\uccb4\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc744 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\uafb8\uace0\uc790 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6d4\ub7ec\uac00 \uc758\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc784\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74, \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \uc774\uc0ac \uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ucc44\uc6cc\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\uc0ac \uc6d4\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n\n\uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\uc0ac \uc6d4\ub7ec\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub77c\ub294 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc740 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \ubcc0\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uac8c \ub420 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub9cc\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, CME FedWatch Tool\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 Fed Funds Rate\uac00 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 5.25%-5.50% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\uc758 60%\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6d4\ub7ec\uc758 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc1c\uc804\uc740 \uadf8 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4\uacfc 6\uc6d4 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc794\ub7c9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774\ub978 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc758 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc6d4\ub7ec\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uac00\ub85c\ub9c9\ud600 \uc788\ub358 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ucc98\uc74c \ubcf4\ub0c8\uc744 \ub54c, 2023\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub358 \uac83\uc744 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc870\uce58\ub294 S&#038;P 500\uc5d0 \ub450 \ub2ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 10% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc5f0\ub9d0 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud574 S&#038;P 500\uacfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uac70\ub798 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\n\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ud658 \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\uc5ec \ud604\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \uc800\ub834\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. VIX\uac00 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 14 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub294 \ud655\uc99d \uc804\ud22c\ub098 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud6c4\ubcf4 \uc9c0\uba85\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ud63c\ub780\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub354 \ud070 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6d4\ub7ec\uc758 \uc784\uba85\uc740 \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \uc774\uc0ac \uacf5\uc11d\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud558\uc5ec \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ucc44\uc6cc\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc5f0\ubc29 \uacf5\uac1c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc758 \ud22c\ud45c \ub2e4\uc218\ub97c \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud3b8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc6b0\uc120\uc2dc\ub418\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc57d\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc628\uac74\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \uc904\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. UUP\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uc801 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ud45c\ud604\ud558\ub294 \uac04\ub2e8\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc6d4\ub7ec\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc758\uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud300\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc608\uace0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4! &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18869"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18869\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}