{"id":18666,"date":"2025-08-05T22:38:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T22:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/ubs%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ea%b0%80-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%b4%88%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-100bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%96%89%ed%95%a0\/"},"modified":"2025-08-05T22:38:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T22:38:00","slug":"ubs%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ea%b0%80-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%b4%88%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-100bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%96%89%ed%95%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/ubs%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ea%b0%80-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%b4%88%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-100bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%96%89%ed%95%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"UBS\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 2026\ub144 \ucd08\uae4c\uc9c0 100bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\ud589\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"UBS \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc608\uce21\n\n\uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ub3c4\uc804\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud574\uc18c\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3e\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc88b\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc608\uce21\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc218\uce58 \uc218\uc815\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uace8\ub4dc\ub9cc \uc0ad\uc2a4\ub3c4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacc4\uc18d\ub41c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd5c\ub300 50\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub113\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uace0\ub824\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc81c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc218\uc815\uc740 \uac10\uc815\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\uace0, CME FedWatch \ud234\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc774 70%\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uc5ec\ud30c\n\n\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\uac00 \uc544\ub2cc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ucd09\uc9c4\ud574\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, 2019\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ucc38\uace0\ud558\uc5ec \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ucc3e\uc544\ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. S&#038;P 500 \ub610\ub294 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100\uc758 9\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc774\ub098 10\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\ub97c \uac00\uc9c4 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\uba74 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc218\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc838\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc678\ud658 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 106.50\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc30d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc120\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc20f\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uac00 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uba74 \uc27d\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc815\uc758\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc624\ub298\uc774 8\uc6d4 5\uc77c\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc635\uc158\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04 \uacbd\uacfc\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc2dc\uae30\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud574 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc2e4\ud589\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uace0 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud574\uc18c\ub41c \ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud558\uc138\uc694<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694<\/a>.<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UBS\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uba70 \ud22c\uc790 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3e\uc73c\ub77c\uace0 \uc870\uc5b8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc678\ud658 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\ubcf4\uc138\uc694. \uc9c0\uae08\uc774 \uae30\ud68c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4! &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18666","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18666"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18666\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18666"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18666"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18666"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}