{"id":17864,"date":"2025-07-27T19:37:16","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T19:37:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%a4%ec%9d%8c-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%97%85%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%8a%b8-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98\/"},"modified":"2025-07-27T19:37:16","modified_gmt":"2025-07-27T19:37:16","slug":"%eb%8b%a4%ec%9d%8c-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%97%85%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%8a%b8-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%a4%ec%9d%8c-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%97%85%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%8a%b8-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8: \ubb34\uc5ed \ud611\uc0c1, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758 \ubc0f \uc8fc\uc694 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc1c\ud45c"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\ub294 8\uc6d4 1\uc77c \ubb34\uc5ed \uac70\ub798 \ub9c8\uac10\uc77c\uacfc \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ubc0f \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8\uc911 \ubb34\uc5ed \ud68c\ub2f4 \ub4f1 \ub9ce\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\ub85c \uac00\ub4dd \ucc28 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed), \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ), \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c, ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218(PMI), \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE)\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc640 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP), \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 CPI\uc640 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc790\ub8cc\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ucc44\uad8c \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubd84\uae30 \uc7ac\uc735\uc790 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\ubbf8\uc911 \ubb34\uc5ed \ud68c\ub2f4\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub9ac\ud391 \ubd80\ucd1d\ub9ac\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8\uac00 \uc2a4\ud1a1\ud640\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub04c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 8\uc6d4 12\uc77c \uc885\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 90\uc77c \uac04\uc758 \ubbf8\uc911 \uad00\uc138 \ud734\uc804\uc758 \uc5f0\uc7a5\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \uc131\uacf5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 145%\ub85c, \uc911\uad6d \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 125%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubd84\uae30 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc608\uce21\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uc5b4, \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uac00 \ubbfc\uac04\uc774 \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \uc21c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc44\ubb34\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucc28\uc785 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc54c\ub824\uc904 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\nFOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c)\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc870\uc0ac\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.25-4.50% \uc0ac\uc774\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc694\uad6c\ud558\uba70 \uc774\uc758 \uc2dc\uc704\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d GDP\uc758 \uc608\ube44 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 2.5%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 CPI\ub294 0.8% Q\/Q\ub85c \uc774\uc804 \uc22b\uc790\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub0ae\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \ud3c9\ud3c9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 1\ubd84\uae30\uc758 0.6% \uc131\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. BoC\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 PCE\ub294 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 +0.3% M\/M \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 BoJ\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.50%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uacf5\ud654\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud63c\ud569\ub41c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 \uc57d\uac04\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 8\uc6d4 1\uc77c\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ub9c8\uac10\uc77c\uc774 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uac01\uad6d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ucd5c\uc885\ud654\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub354\uc6b1 \ub192\uc740 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ud53c\ud558\ub824\uace0 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ucd09\ub9e4\uc81c\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9ce\uc740 \uace0\uc784\ud329\ud2b8 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc5b4, \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9d0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ubbf8\uc911 \ud68c\ub2f4\uacfc \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \ub9c8\uac10\uc77c\uc740 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc774\uc9c4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc774 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c \uc5f0\uc7a5\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ucd09\uc9c4\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ub180\ub77c\uc6c0\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0, \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uce68\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5b8\ub860 \ud68c\uacac\uc774\ub098 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc774\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \uc138\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc774 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud1a4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcc0\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc640 \ud638\uc8fc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc218\uce58\uac00 102\ucc9c \uba85\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud604\uc800\ud788 \ub0ae\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 0.8%\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub3c4\uc804\ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \uace0\uc815 \uc218\uc785 \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc774\uba70, T-bill \uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00 \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uace0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac \uace1\uc120\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc640 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120 \uacbd\uc0ac \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc790\uc138\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc911\uad6d \ubb34\uc5ed \ud611\uc0c1\uacfc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ub4f1 \ud070 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud074 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17864","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17864","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17864"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17864\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}