{"id":17253,"date":"2025-07-18T04:39:13","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T04:39:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%99%88%eb%9f%ac-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80-%eb%8b%a4%ec%96%91%ed%95%9c-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94-%eb%b0%8f-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b3%80\/"},"modified":"2025-07-18T04:39:13","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T04:39:13","slug":"%ec%99%88%eb%9f%ac-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80-%eb%8b%a4%ec%96%91%ed%95%9c-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94-%eb%b0%8f-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b3%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%99%88%eb%9f%ac-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80-%eb%8b%a4%ec%96%91%ed%95%9c-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94-%eb%b0%8f-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b3%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc648\ub7ec, 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0; \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud3ec\ucc29"},"content":{"rendered":"\ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc704\uc6d0 Christopher Waller\ub294 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \uc815\uccb4\ub41c \ub178\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ucd09\uad6c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Waller\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uace0 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc57d 1%\ub85c \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c \ub454\ud654 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc548\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec \uc870\uac74\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 1.3\uc870 \uc704\uc548\uc744 \uc740\ud589 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc785\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uacbd\ud5d8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc758 \uc8fc\uc785\uc740 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c, \uc5ed\ub808\ud3ec \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc804\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc18c\ub9e4 \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 50\uc870 \uc704\uc548\uc744 \ucd08\uacfc\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uacfc \uc77c\uce58\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc77c\ubcf8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud574 \ubcf4\uace0\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778, \ud575\uc2ec, \ud575\uc2ec-\ud575\uc2ec CPI\ub294 \uac01\uac01 3.3%, 3.3%, 3.4%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc815\uce58 \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc800\ub110\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc640 \uc81c\ud504\ub9ac \uc5e1\uc2a4\ud2f4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc5f0\uad00\uc131\uc744 \ubc1d\ud600 \ubc95\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc744 \uace0\uc870\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uac74\uac15 \uc6b0\ub824 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub294 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uacbd\ubbf8\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c\ub9cc \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d \ud65c\ubc1c\ud558\uba70, GENIUS \ubc95\uc548\uacfc CLARITY \ubc95\uc548\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud574 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ubc95\uc548\uc774 \ud1b5\uacfc\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70, \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub204\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc704\uc6d0\uc5d0 \uc758\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc694\uccad\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME\uc758 FedWatch \ud234\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 25 \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 85%\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud3ed\ub113\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc9c0\ub098\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc57d\uc18d\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 USD \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud654\uc774\ud2b8 \ud558\uc6b0\uc2a4\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc758 \uaca9\ud654\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0b4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, 1970\ub144\ub300\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc2a4\uce94\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0 VIX \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\uac70\ub098 S&#038;P 500\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uacf5\uac04\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc778 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud1f4\uc9c1 \uc5f0\uae08\uc758 \uac1c\ubc29 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uc785\ubc95\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uc624\ud508 \uc774\uc790\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc5d0 30% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uc5ec \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc790\ubcf8\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uc785\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2024\ub144 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF \uc2b9\uc778 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud328\ud134\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ub530\ub77c\uac00\uba74\uc11c \uc9c4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c ETH\uc640 BTC\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uc7a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8 \uac04\uc758 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ub3c4\ucfc4\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 CPI \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc544 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub35c \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 USD\/JPY \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uba70, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 150 \uc218\uc900 \uc774\ud558\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc8fc\uc785\uc740 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uae08\uc735 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\uc2a4\ub97c \ubc29\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc758\ub3c4\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uace0\uc815\uacfc \uacb0\ud569\ub418\uc5b4 \uc624\ud504\uc1fc\uc5b4 \uc704\uc548\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 Betting\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 CNH \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ucd09\uad6c\ud558\uba70 \uacbd\uc81c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\uace0 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74 \uc911\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uad00\ub9ac\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17253"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17253\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}